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icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?
Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?
Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?

$1.172M - $1.181M 28%

$1.181M - $1.190M 27%

<$1.172M 19%

$1.190M - $1.199M 14%

Polymarket
BARU

$1.172M - $1.181M 28%

$1.181M - $1.190M 27%

<$1.172M 19%

$1.190M - $1.199M 14%

Polymarket
BARU

<$1.172M

$104 Vol.

13%

$1.172M - $1.181M

$40 Vol.

28%

$1.181M - $1.190M

$221 Vol.

32%

$1.190M - $1.199M

$40 Vol.

14%

$1.199M - $1.208M

$48 Vol.

6%

$1.208M - $1.216M

$40 Vol.

7%

>$1.216M

$40 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Trader sentiment on Los Angeles Metro median home values clusters tightly around the $1.172M–$1.190M range, reflecting recent data releases showing modest year-over-year declines amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5%. Redfin reported a 0.72% drop in median sale prices to $1.0M for the three months ending May 2026, while Zillow’s home-value index stood at approximately $956,000 with a 1.2% annual decline through April. Persistent affordability constraints, with only 18% of households able to qualify for median-priced homes, have weighed on demand despite limited new supply and steady transaction volumes. With resolution just weeks away, the narrow spread between the leading bins underscores uncertainty over whether June seasonal patterns or any late-month data revisions will push the final figure into the upper or lower of these two closely contested intervals.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Volume
$534
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Trader sentiment on Los Angeles Metro median home values clusters tightly around the $1.172M–$1.190M range, reflecting recent data releases showing modest year-over-year declines amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5%. Redfin reported a 0.72% drop in median sale prices to $1.0M for the three months ending May 2026, while Zillow’s home-value index stood at approximately $956,000 with a 1.2% annual decline through April. Persistent affordability constraints, with only 18% of households able to qualify for median-priced homes, have weighed on demand despite limited new supply and steady transaction volumes. With resolution just weeks away, the narrow spread between the leading bins underscores uncertainty over whether June seasonal patterns or any late-month data revisions will push the final figure into the upper or lower of these two closely contested intervals.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Volume
$534
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "$1.181M - $1.190M" di 32%, diikuti oleh "$1.172M - $1.181M" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 32¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 3, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" adalah "$1.181M - $1.190M" di 32%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "$1.172M - $1.181M" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.