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Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?
Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?

<$429k 27%

$429k - $431k 18%

$431k - $433k 15%

$433k - $435k 11%

Polymarket
BARU

<$429k 27%

$429k - $431k 18%

$431k - $433k 15%

$433k - $435k 11%

Polymarket
BARU

<$429k

$176 Vol.

27%

$429k - $431k

$18 Vol.

18%

$431k - $433k

$1 Vol.

15%

$433k - $435k

$1 Vol.

11%

$435k - $437k

$0 Vol.

7%

$437k - $439k

$30 Vol.

5%

>$439k

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and only modest year-over-year home price gains of 1-2% have kept median U.S. home values in check through May 2026, with Redfin and FHFA data showing limited appreciation amid rising inventory. Trader consensus, reflected in the highest 33% implied probability on outcomes below $429,000, aligns with subdued demand and sales volumes that have not supported stronger upward momentum. The broad distribution across buckets underscores uncertainty from pending June data releases, seasonal summer demand patterns, and potential volatility in median sale prices versus typical-value indexes. Key near-term catalysts include any shifts in 30-year fixed rates or new-home sales figures due by late June.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Volume
$227
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and only modest year-over-year home price gains of 1-2% have kept median U.S. home values in check through May 2026, with Redfin and FHFA data showing limited appreciation amid rising inventory. Trader consensus, reflected in the highest 33% implied probability on outcomes below $429,000, aligns with subdued demand and sales volumes that have not supported stronger upward momentum. The broad distribution across buckets underscores uncertainty from pending June data releases, seasonal summer demand patterns, and potential volatility in median sale prices versus typical-value indexes. Key near-term catalysts include any shifts in 30-year fixed rates or new-home sales figures due by late June.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Volume
$227
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "<$429k" di 27%, diikuti oleh "$429k - $431k" di 18%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 27¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 2, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?" adalah "<$429k" di 27%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "$429k - $431k" di 18%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.