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Geopolitik·Suriah

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Geopolitik·Suriah

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$682,183 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$682,183 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$315,656 Vol.

14%

icon for Lebanon

Lebanon

$108,849 Vol.

10%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$16,864 Vol.

10%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$56,475 Vol.

9%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$12,203 Vol.

7%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$14,366 Vol.

7%

icon for Syria

Syria

$19,567 Vol.

6%

icon for Iran

Iran

$12,210 Vol.

5%

icon for North Korea

North Korea

$18,778 Vol.

5%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$34,415 Vol.

5%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$8,582 Vol.

5%

icon for Pakistan

Pakistan

$9,041 Vol.

5%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$11,914 Vol.

4%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$12,248 Vol.

4%

icon for Malaysia

Malaysia

$11,978 Vol.

4%

icon for Afghanistan

Afghanistan

$19,038 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic activity centers on Latin American states, with Venezuela renewing limited consular ties in August 2026 and Bolivia advancing restoration of full relations after a 16-year break. Colombia’s incoming president has signaled resumption of ties, while similar overtures appear possible in Chile and Brazil ahead of their elections. Broader normalization remains constrained by the linkage many Arab and OIC states maintain between recognition and Palestinian statehood along 1967 lines, reinforced by recent multilateral condemnations of West Bank policies. No new full recognitions by UN members have occurred in 2026, leaving roughly 23 holdouts. Traders track bilateral talks, the October 2026 Israeli election, and any U.S.-brokered initiatives through year-end as potential catalysts for shifts in the low-probability outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$682,183
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Disengketakan

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Disengketakan

Tinjauan akhir

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic activity centers on Latin American states, with Venezuela renewing limited consular ties in August 2026 and Bolivia advancing restoration of full relations after a 16-year break. Colombia’s incoming president has signaled resumption of ties, while similar overtures appear possible in Chile and Brazil ahead of their elections. Broader normalization remains constrained by the linkage many Arab and OIC states maintain between recognition and Palestinian statehood along 1967 lines, reinforced by recent multilateral condemnations of West Bank policies. No new full recognitions by UN members have occurred in 2026, leaving roughly 23 holdouts. Traders track bilateral talks, the October 2026 Israeli election, and any U.S.-brokered initiatives through year-end as potential catalysts for shifts in the low-probability outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$682,183
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Disengketakan

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Disengketakan

Tinjauan akhir

Terkait

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Apakah Belgia akan mengakui Palestina sebelum tahun 2027?

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Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 16 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Venezuela" di 14%, diikuti oleh "Lebanon" di 10%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 14¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 14% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" telah menghasilkan $682.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?," jelajahi 16 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" adalah "Venezuela" di 14%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 14% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lebanon" di 10%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.