This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syria's transitional government under President Ahmed al-Sharaa continues pursuing a US-mediated comprehensive security agreement with Israel to de-escalate border tensions and stabilize southern Syria, as affirmed by Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani on May 13, who demanded full Israeli withdrawal to the 1974 disengagement lines. This follows al-Sharaa's April 17 remarks that negotiations persist despite hurdles from Israel's post-Assad territorial buffer zone near the Golan Heights, aimed at countering Hezbollah and Iranian threats. Earlier January talks established a dedicated communication line for intel-sharing, but full diplomatic normalization—potentially via Abraham Accords expansion—remains distant amid sovereignty disputes and Syria's internal rebuilding. No breakthroughs in the past 30 days, with ongoing diplomacy as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Syria's transitional government under President Ahmed al-Sharaa continues pursuing a US-mediated comprehensive security agreement with Israel to de-escalate border tensions and stabilize southern Syria, as affirmed by Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani on May 13, who demanded full Israeli withdrawal to the 1974 disengagement lines. This follows al-Sharaa's April 17 remarks that negotiations persist despite hurdles from Israel's post-Assad territorial buffer zone near the Golan Heights, aimed at countering Hezbollah and Iranian threats. Earlier January talks established a dedicated communication line for intel-sharing, but full diplomatic normalization—potentially via Abraham Accords expansion—remains distant amid sovereignty disputes and Syria's internal rebuilding. No breakthroughs in the past 30 days, with ongoing diplomacy as the key catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
May 8 2026
Israel and Syria resume U.S.-brokered talks in Paris
December 31, 2026 jumps to 13%6%
Israeli and Syrian officials met in Paris for a second round of U.S.-mediated negotiations, issuing a joint statement emphasizing respect for Syria's sovereignty and Israel's security, which modestly improved market expectations for a December 2026 diplomatic breakthrough.
May 5 2026
Israeli‑Syrian diplomatic talks stall after security flare‑up
June 30, 2026 dips to 2%3%
Following the Paris meeting, reports emerged that a renewed Hezbollah‑linked attack in Damascus led both sides to suspend further negotiations, sending the market sharply lower as the prospect of a formal agreement dimmed.
Apr 29 2026
Israel and Syria resume U.S.-brokered talks in Paris on security agreement
December 31, 2026 dips to 14%3%
Syrian and Israeli officials met in Paris for U.S.-mediated talks aimed at a security agreement to reduce tensions. They agreed to establish a joint communication cell for coordination on intelligence, military de-escalation, and diplomatic engagement, marking a tentative step but no formal normalization yet.
Apr 28 2026
Israel rejects allegations over ship with stolen Ukrainian grain amid diplomatic row with Kyiv
Israel faced diplomatic tensions with Ukraine over ships carrying stolen Ukrainian grain docking at Israeli ports. This incident strained Israel's international relations and distracted from regional diplomatic efforts, including with Syria, contributing to market skepticism about normalization prospects.
Apr 27 2026
U.S.-mediated Israel‑Syria talks resume in Paris
December 31, 2026 rises to 14%3%
AP reported that Israeli and Syrian delegations met in Paris to restart security talks, prompting a short rally in the market as traders priced in a possible path to formal relations.
Apr 22 2026
Syrian foreign minister hints at possible normalization with Israel
December 31, 2026 dips to 11%3%
In a televised interview, Syria’s Foreign Minister Asaad al‑Shaibani suggested that talks on normalising relations with Israel were under consideration, briefly lifting market odds before the optimism faded amid no concrete steps.
Apr 21 2026
Israel-Lebanon talks highlight challenges for regional peace amid ongoing conflict
Analysis of Israel-Lebanon talks emphasized the political and military challenges Israel faces, including its occupation of southern Lebanon and targeting beyond Hezbollah. This situation reflects the broader regional instability that hinders progress on Israel-Syria normalization.
Apr 19 2026
Syria says it foiled Hezbollah sabotage plot in Quneitra
December 31, 2026 dips to 14%2%
Syria’s Interior Ministry announced the disruption of a Hezbollah‑linked cell planning a rocket attack from a disguised civilian vehicle. The incident highlighted ongoing security friction between Damascus and Jerusalem, pushing the market lower as analysts saw little progress toward diplomatic ties.
Apr 14 2026
Israel and Lebanon hold second round of U.S.-mediated talks to extend ceasefire
The U.S. hosted a second round of ambassador-level talks between Israel and Lebanon to extend a ceasefire and discuss broader peace negotiations. Hezbollah opposed the talks, underscoring ongoing regional tensions that complicate broader normalization efforts including with Syria.
Apr 7 2026
Israel and Lebanon begin first direct diplomatic talks in decades in Washington
Lebanon and Israel held their first direct talks in decades, mediated by the U.S., aiming to address ceasefire and peace issues amid ongoing conflict with Hezbollah. This development highlighted regional diplomatic efforts but did not directly advance Israel-Syria normalization, reflecting the complex regional environment.
Mar 26 2026
No official Israel-Syria normalization announcement as talks remain inconclusive
By late March 2026, no official announcement of diplomatic relations establishment occurred despite ongoing talks and U.S. mediation, leading to market prices dropping to historic lows for both June and December 2026 outcomes.
Mar 10 2026
Syrian Foreign Minister reports stalled efforts to normalize with Israel
December 31, 2026 drops to 14%10%
Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani stated that efforts to bridge gaps with Israel have stalled, reflecting deep mistrust and ongoing military tensions, which contributed to the market's sharp decline in normalization probability.
Mar 9 2026
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa publicly supports disarming Hezbollah, aligning interests with Israel
June 30, 2026 rises to 14%2%
Al-Sharaa's call to disarm Hezbollah marked a rare convergence of Syrian and Israeli interests, but mutual distrust and ongoing conflicts prevented this from translating into diplomatic normalization.
Feb 12 2026
EU leaders pledge support for Syria’s recovery post-civil war
December 31, 2026 drops to 11%11%
European Union officials visited Syria and pledged financial aid for reconstruction, signaling Syria’s improving relations with the West but not directly with Israel. This nuanced development did not significantly boost market expectations for Israel-Syria normalization by the end of 2026.
Feb 10 2026
Analysis questions effectiveness of U.S. military aid in fostering Israeli peace concessions
December 31, 2026 drops to 10%11%
A critical analysis highlighted that despite Israel's military edge and U.S. support, there is no Israeli intent to make concessions, reducing the likelihood of normalization with Syria or other neighbors in the near term.
Feb 1 2026
Limited travel through Rafah crossing resumes under EU supervision
June 30, 2026 dips to 10%2%
The partial reopening of the Rafah crossing indicated some humanitarian easing but did not translate into diplomatic normalization between Israel and Syria, maintaining low market confidence in normalization by mid-2026.
Jan 16 2026
Israeli military intensifies operations in Gaza amid ongoing conflict
December 31, 2026 drops to 11%13%
Israel's focus on military operations and settlement expansion signaled a hardening stance, reducing optimism for diplomatic breakthroughs with Syria. This contributed to a further decline in market prices for normalization by December 31, 2026.
Jan 5 2026
Delcy Rodríguez sworn in as Venezuela's interim president
While not directly related to Israel-Syria relations, this event reflects broader regional political shifts and instability that may indirectly affect Middle East diplomacy. Market impact on Israel-Syria normalization was minimal but noted for context.
Jan 1 2026
Optimism fades as regional realities stall Israel-Syria progress
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%6%
Despite earlier hopes, Israeli military actions in Syria and ongoing distrust, especially regarding Syria's new leadership and Israeli security concerns, have stalled normalization prospects, leading to further market price declines.
Jan 1 2026
Israeli military actions and regional tensions keep normalization prospects low
June 30, 2026 drops to 22%14%
Despite a new Syrian regime and some diplomatic overtures, Israel's ongoing military strikes in Syria and Lebanon, and its policies in Gaza and the West Bank, sustained deep mistrust and diminished hopes for normalization with Syria by mid-2026.
Dec 26 2025
Syrian interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets EU leaders signaling improved Western ties
December 31, 2026 rises to 36%4%
The EU delegation's visit and financial support pledge to Syria under al-Sharaa indicated Syria's diplomatic opening to the West but did not translate into progress on normalization with Israel, maintaining market skepticism.
Dec 21 2025
Israel approves 19 new West Bank settlements amid rising tensions
June 30, 2026 drops to 18%6%
The Israeli government approved new settlements in the West Bank, escalating tensions with Palestinians and complicating regional diplomacy. This move diminished market confidence in normalization prospects by signaling continued Israeli expansionism and hardline policies.
Dec 16 2025
Calls to repeal U.S. Caesar sanctions on Syria to aid recovery and diplomacy
December 31, 2026 drops to 26%9%
U.S. lawmakers urged repeal of sanctions to support Syria's reconstruction and political alignment with U.S. interests, potentially facilitating normalization talks. However, no immediate breakthrough occurred, reflecting cautious market sentiment.
Dec 3 2025
Trump administration's peace plan raises hopes but progress stalls
June 30, 2026 drops to 24%9%
Despite initial optimism from the Gaza ceasefire and regional shifts, diplomatic efforts including with Syria have stalled due to Israeli reluctance to concede territory and ongoing military actions, dampening market confidence in normalization by June 30, 2026.
Nov 25 2025
Saudi Crown Prince reiterates Palestinian statehood as precondition for normalization with Israel
December 31, 2026 drops to 44%7%
Saudi Arabia publicly and privately emphasized that normalization with Israel remains contingent on progress toward Palestinian statehood, with no concrete steps toward normalization, dampening regional prospects including Syria's potential moves.
Nov 12 2025
Israel and Syria resume U.S.-brokered talks in Paris
June 30, 2026 plunges to 31%19%
Israeli and Syrian officials met in Paris for U.S.-mediated talks focusing on security, sovereignty, and cooperation, raising initial hopes for normalization. The joint statement about establishing a communication cell suggested progress, causing a temporary increase in market optimism for normalization by June 30, 2026.
Nov 12 2025
U.S.-mediated Israel-Syria talks resume in Paris to defuse tensions
June 30, 2026 rises to 52%2%
Syrian and Israeli officials met in Paris under U.S. mediation to discuss a security agreement focused on sovereignty, stability, and security, raising hopes for normalization. This event initially boosted market optimism for normalization by June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syria's transitional government under President Ahmed al-Sharaa continues pursuing a US-mediated comprehensive security agreement with Israel to de-escalate border tensions and stabilize southern Syria, as affirmed by Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani on May 13, who demanded full Israeli withdrawal to the 1974 disengagement lines. This follows al-Sharaa's April 17 remarks that negotiations persist despite hurdles from Israel's post-Assad territorial buffer zone near the Golan Heights, aimed at countering Hezbollah and Iranian threats. Earlier January talks established a dedicated communication line for intel-sharing, but full diplomatic normalization—potentially via Abraham Accords expansion—remains distant amid sovereignty disputes and Syria's internal rebuilding. No breakthroughs in the past 30 days, with ongoing diplomacy as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Syria's transitional government under President Ahmed al-Sharaa continues pursuing a US-mediated comprehensive security agreement with Israel to de-escalate border tensions and stabilize southern Syria, as affirmed by Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani on May 13, who demanded full Israeli withdrawal to the 1974 disengagement lines. This follows al-Sharaa's April 17 remarks that negotiations persist despite hurdles from Israel's post-Assad territorial buffer zone near the Golan Heights, aimed at countering Hezbollah and Iranian threats. Earlier January talks established a dedicated communication line for intel-sharing, but full diplomatic normalization—potentially via Abraham Accords expansion—remains distant amid sovereignty disputes and Syria's internal rebuilding. No breakthroughs in the past 30 days, with ongoing diplomacy as the key catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
May 8 2026
Israel and Syria resume U.S.-brokered talks in Paris
December 31, 2026 jumps to 13%6%
Israeli and Syrian officials met in Paris for a second round of U.S.-mediated negotiations, issuing a joint statement emphasizing respect for Syria's sovereignty and Israel's security, which modestly improved market expectations for a December 2026 diplomatic breakthrough.
May 5 2026
Israeli‑Syrian diplomatic talks stall after security flare‑up
June 30, 2026 dips to 2%3%
Following the Paris meeting, reports emerged that a renewed Hezbollah‑linked attack in Damascus led both sides to suspend further negotiations, sending the market sharply lower as the prospect of a formal agreement dimmed.
Apr 29 2026
Israel and Syria resume U.S.-brokered talks in Paris on security agreement
December 31, 2026 dips to 14%3%
Syrian and Israeli officials met in Paris for U.S.-mediated talks aimed at a security agreement to reduce tensions. They agreed to establish a joint communication cell for coordination on intelligence, military de-escalation, and diplomatic engagement, marking a tentative step but no formal normalization yet.
Apr 28 2026
Israel rejects allegations over ship with stolen Ukrainian grain amid diplomatic row with Kyiv
Israel faced diplomatic tensions with Ukraine over ships carrying stolen Ukrainian grain docking at Israeli ports. This incident strained Israel's international relations and distracted from regional diplomatic efforts, including with Syria, contributing to market skepticism about normalization prospects.
Apr 27 2026
U.S.-mediated Israel‑Syria talks resume in Paris
December 31, 2026 rises to 14%3%
AP reported that Israeli and Syrian delegations met in Paris to restart security talks, prompting a short rally in the market as traders priced in a possible path to formal relations.
Apr 22 2026
Syrian foreign minister hints at possible normalization with Israel
December 31, 2026 dips to 11%3%
In a televised interview, Syria’s Foreign Minister Asaad al‑Shaibani suggested that talks on normalising relations with Israel were under consideration, briefly lifting market odds before the optimism faded amid no concrete steps.
Apr 21 2026
Israel-Lebanon talks highlight challenges for regional peace amid ongoing conflict
Analysis of Israel-Lebanon talks emphasized the political and military challenges Israel faces, including its occupation of southern Lebanon and targeting beyond Hezbollah. This situation reflects the broader regional instability that hinders progress on Israel-Syria normalization.
Apr 19 2026
Syria says it foiled Hezbollah sabotage plot in Quneitra
December 31, 2026 dips to 14%2%
Syria’s Interior Ministry announced the disruption of a Hezbollah‑linked cell planning a rocket attack from a disguised civilian vehicle. The incident highlighted ongoing security friction between Damascus and Jerusalem, pushing the market lower as analysts saw little progress toward diplomatic ties.
Apr 14 2026
Israel and Lebanon hold second round of U.S.-mediated talks to extend ceasefire
The U.S. hosted a second round of ambassador-level talks between Israel and Lebanon to extend a ceasefire and discuss broader peace negotiations. Hezbollah opposed the talks, underscoring ongoing regional tensions that complicate broader normalization efforts including with Syria.
Apr 7 2026
Israel and Lebanon begin first direct diplomatic talks in decades in Washington
Lebanon and Israel held their first direct talks in decades, mediated by the U.S., aiming to address ceasefire and peace issues amid ongoing conflict with Hezbollah. This development highlighted regional diplomatic efforts but did not directly advance Israel-Syria normalization, reflecting the complex regional environment.
Mar 26 2026
No official Israel-Syria normalization announcement as talks remain inconclusive
By late March 2026, no official announcement of diplomatic relations establishment occurred despite ongoing talks and U.S. mediation, leading to market prices dropping to historic lows for both June and December 2026 outcomes.
Mar 10 2026
Syrian Foreign Minister reports stalled efforts to normalize with Israel
December 31, 2026 drops to 14%10%
Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani stated that efforts to bridge gaps with Israel have stalled, reflecting deep mistrust and ongoing military tensions, which contributed to the market's sharp decline in normalization probability.
Mar 9 2026
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa publicly supports disarming Hezbollah, aligning interests with Israel
June 30, 2026 rises to 14%2%
Al-Sharaa's call to disarm Hezbollah marked a rare convergence of Syrian and Israeli interests, but mutual distrust and ongoing conflicts prevented this from translating into diplomatic normalization.
Feb 12 2026
EU leaders pledge support for Syria’s recovery post-civil war
December 31, 2026 drops to 11%11%
European Union officials visited Syria and pledged financial aid for reconstruction, signaling Syria’s improving relations with the West but not directly with Israel. This nuanced development did not significantly boost market expectations for Israel-Syria normalization by the end of 2026.
Feb 10 2026
Analysis questions effectiveness of U.S. military aid in fostering Israeli peace concessions
December 31, 2026 drops to 10%11%
A critical analysis highlighted that despite Israel's military edge and U.S. support, there is no Israeli intent to make concessions, reducing the likelihood of normalization with Syria or other neighbors in the near term.
Feb 1 2026
Limited travel through Rafah crossing resumes under EU supervision
June 30, 2026 dips to 10%2%
The partial reopening of the Rafah crossing indicated some humanitarian easing but did not translate into diplomatic normalization between Israel and Syria, maintaining low market confidence in normalization by mid-2026.
Jan 16 2026
Israeli military intensifies operations in Gaza amid ongoing conflict
December 31, 2026 drops to 11%13%
Israel's focus on military operations and settlement expansion signaled a hardening stance, reducing optimism for diplomatic breakthroughs with Syria. This contributed to a further decline in market prices for normalization by December 31, 2026.
Jan 5 2026
Delcy Rodríguez sworn in as Venezuela's interim president
While not directly related to Israel-Syria relations, this event reflects broader regional political shifts and instability that may indirectly affect Middle East diplomacy. Market impact on Israel-Syria normalization was minimal but noted for context.
Jan 1 2026
Optimism fades as regional realities stall Israel-Syria progress
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%6%
Despite earlier hopes, Israeli military actions in Syria and ongoing distrust, especially regarding Syria's new leadership and Israeli security concerns, have stalled normalization prospects, leading to further market price declines.
Jan 1 2026
Israeli military actions and regional tensions keep normalization prospects low
June 30, 2026 drops to 22%14%
Despite a new Syrian regime and some diplomatic overtures, Israel's ongoing military strikes in Syria and Lebanon, and its policies in Gaza and the West Bank, sustained deep mistrust and diminished hopes for normalization with Syria by mid-2026.
Dec 26 2025
Syrian interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets EU leaders signaling improved Western ties
December 31, 2026 rises to 36%4%
The EU delegation's visit and financial support pledge to Syria under al-Sharaa indicated Syria's diplomatic opening to the West but did not translate into progress on normalization with Israel, maintaining market skepticism.
Dec 21 2025
Israel approves 19 new West Bank settlements amid rising tensions
June 30, 2026 drops to 18%6%
The Israeli government approved new settlements in the West Bank, escalating tensions with Palestinians and complicating regional diplomacy. This move diminished market confidence in normalization prospects by signaling continued Israeli expansionism and hardline policies.
Dec 16 2025
Calls to repeal U.S. Caesar sanctions on Syria to aid recovery and diplomacy
December 31, 2026 drops to 26%9%
U.S. lawmakers urged repeal of sanctions to support Syria's reconstruction and political alignment with U.S. interests, potentially facilitating normalization talks. However, no immediate breakthrough occurred, reflecting cautious market sentiment.
Dec 3 2025
Trump administration's peace plan raises hopes but progress stalls
June 30, 2026 drops to 24%9%
Despite initial optimism from the Gaza ceasefire and regional shifts, diplomatic efforts including with Syria have stalled due to Israeli reluctance to concede territory and ongoing military actions, dampening market confidence in normalization by June 30, 2026.
Nov 25 2025
Saudi Crown Prince reiterates Palestinian statehood as precondition for normalization with Israel
December 31, 2026 drops to 44%7%
Saudi Arabia publicly and privately emphasized that normalization with Israel remains contingent on progress toward Palestinian statehood, with no concrete steps toward normalization, dampening regional prospects including Syria's potential moves.
Nov 12 2025
Israel and Syria resume U.S.-brokered talks in Paris
June 30, 2026 plunges to 31%19%
Israeli and Syrian officials met in Paris for U.S.-mediated talks focusing on security, sovereignty, and cooperation, raising initial hopes for normalization. The joint statement about establishing a communication cell suggested progress, causing a temporary increase in market optimism for normalization by June 30, 2026.
Nov 12 2025
U.S.-mediated Israel-Syria talks resume in Paris to defuse tensions
June 30, 2026 rises to 52%2%
Syrian and Israeli officials met in Paris under U.S. mediation to discuss a security agreement focused on sovereignty, stability, and security, raising hopes for normalization. This event initially boosted market optimism for normalization by June 30, 2026.
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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan
"Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "31 Desember 2026" di 13%, diikuti oleh "30 Juni 2026" di 3%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 13¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 13% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.
Per hari ini, "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" telah menghasilkan $2.1 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 2, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.
Untuk trading di "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.
Unggulan saat ini untuk "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" adalah "31 Desember 2026" di 13%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 13% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "30 Juni 2026" di 3%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.
Aturan resolusi untuk "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.
Ya. Kamu tidak perlu trading untuk tetap terinformasi. Halaman ini berfungsi sebagai pelacak langsung untuk "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?." Probabilitas hasil diperbarui secara real-time saat trade baru masuk. Kamu bisa menandai halaman ini dan memeriksa bagian komentar untuk melihat apa yang dikatakan trader lain. Kamu juga bisa menggunakan filter rentang waktu pada grafik untuk melihat bagaimana peluang bergeser seiring waktu. Ini jendela real-time gratis tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.
Peluang Polymarket ditetapkan oleh trader nyata yang menaruh uang nyata di balik keyakinan mereka, yang cenderung menghasilkan prediksi yang akurat. Dengan $2.1 million diperdagangkan pada "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?," harga-harga ini mengumpulkan pengetahuan dan keyakinan kolektif dari ribuan peserta — sering kali mengalahkan jajak pendapat, prakiraan ahli, dan survei tradisional. Pasar prediksi seperti Polymarket memiliki rekam jejak akurasi yang kuat, terutama saat event mendekati tanggal resolusinya. Misalnya, Polymarket memiliki skor akurasi satu bulan sebesar 94%. Untuk statistik terbaru tentang akurasi prediksi Polymarket, kunjungi halaman akurasi di Polymarket.
Untuk melakukan trade pertamamu di "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?," daftar akun Polymarket gratis dan isi dengan crypto, kartu kredit atau debit, atau transfer bank. Setelah akunmu terisi, kembali ke halaman ini, pilih hasil yang ingin kamu trading, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu baru di pasar prediksi, klik link "Cara kerjanya" di bagian atas halaman Polymarket mana pun untuk panduan langkah demi langkah tentang cara trading.
Di Polymarket, harga setiap hasil mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Harga 13¢ untuk "31 Desember 2026" di pasar "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" berarti trader secara kolektif percaya ada sekitar peluang 13% bahwa "31 Desember 2026" akan menjadi hasil yang benar. Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" di 13¢ dan hasilnya benar, kamu menerima $1,00 per saham — keuntungan 87¢ per saham. Jika salah, saham tersebut bernilai $0.
Pasar "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" dijadwalkan diselesaikan pada atau sekitar Dec 31, 2026. Ini berarti trading akan tetap terbuka dan peluang akan terus bergeser saat informasi baru muncul sampai tanggal tersebut. Waktu resolusi tepat tergantung pada kapan hasil resmi tersedia, seperti diuraikan di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini.
Pasar "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" memiliki komunitas aktif dengan 34 komentar di mana trader berbagi analisis, memperdebatkan hasil, dan membahas perkembangan terkini. Scroll ke bawah ke bagian komentar untuk membaca apa yang dipikirkan peserta lain. Kamu juga bisa memfilter berdasarkan "Top Holder" untuk melihat posisi trader terbesar pasar, atau periksa tab "Aktivitas" untuk feed real-time dari trade.
Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapatkan keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu tentang event dunia nyata. Trader membeli dan menjual saham pada hasil untuk topik mulai dari politik dan pemilu hingga crypto, keuangan, olahraga, teknologi, dan budaya, termasuk pasar seperti "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?." Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial, sering kali memberikan sinyal yang lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat, pakar, atau survei tradisional.
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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan