Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Politik·Tarif

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Politik·Tarif

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$393,638 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$393,638 Vol.

Polymarket

Mexico

$3,126 Vol.

19%

Israel

$572 Vol.

15%

Indonesia

$19,621 Vol.

15%

South Korea

$60,555 Vol.

14%

Vietnam

$7,711 Vol.

18%

India

$70,846 Vol.

13%

Taiwan

$34,264 Vol.

12%

United Kingdom

$592 Vol.

12%

South Africa

$559 Vol.

11%

Russia

$2,348 Vol.

11%

Canada

$22,822 Vol.

10%

Argentina

$22,669 Vol.

10%

Australia

$6,287 Vol.

10%

Pakistan

$105,703 Vol.

9%

Brazil

$4,819 Vol.

7%

European Union

$13,365 Vol.

7%

Japan

$17,780 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has advanced its reciprocal trade agenda through the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) framework, leveraging tariff authority to secure market access commitments on agriculture, industrial goods, critical minerals, and supply chain security. Multiple deals reached final form or entry into force in 2025–2026, including with Indonesia, Malaysia, Jordan, Ecuador, Cambodia, and others, while frameworks or joint statements cover Thailand, Vietnam, South Korea, India, the EU, UK, and Japan. Ongoing USMCA joint review talks with Mexico and Canada center on rules of origin, automotive content, and interim arrangements targeted for completion by year-end 2026. Parallel management of U.S.-China trade relations features periodic summits and purchase commitments. These bilateral negotiations, often tied to reciprocal tariff adjustments, remain the dominant driver of outcomes before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$393,638
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has advanced its reciprocal trade agenda through the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) framework, leveraging tariff authority to secure market access commitments on agriculture, industrial goods, critical minerals, and supply chain security. Multiple deals reached final form or entry into force in 2025–2026, including with Indonesia, Malaysia, Jordan, Ecuador, Cambodia, and others, while frameworks or joint statements cover Thailand, Vietnam, South Korea, India, the EU, UK, and Japan. Ongoing USMCA joint review talks with Mexico and Canada center on rules of origin, automotive content, and interim arrangements targeted for completion by year-end 2026. Parallel management of U.S.-China trade relations features periodic summits and purchase commitments. These bilateral negotiations, often tied to reciprocal tariff adjustments, remain the dominant driver of outcomes before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$393,638
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Terkait

icon for US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%
icon for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%
icon for Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?

Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?

50%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mexico" di 19%, diikuti oleh "Vietnam" di 18%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 19¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 19% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $393.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" adalah "Mexico" di 19%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 19% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Vietnam" di 18%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.