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Geopolitik·Trump

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Geopolitik·Trump

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$268,681 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$268,681 Vol.

Polymarket

South Korea

$55,095 Vol.

27%

Canada

$2,417 Vol.

25%

India

$38,411 Vol.

25%

Brazil

$3,158 Vol.

19%

United Kingdom

$419 Vol.

22%

Israel

$343 Vol.

17%

South Africa

$354 Vol.

15%

Vietnam

$5,155 Vol.

14%

Argentina

$19,939 Vol.

14%

Mexico

$1,850 Vol.

14%

Indonesia

$18,708 Vol.

13%

Japan

$5,093 Vol.

13%

Pakistan

$71,400 Vol.

13%

Russia

$1,979 Vol.

12%

Taiwan

$31,675 Vol.

10%

Australia

$5,214 Vol.

13%

European Union

$7,470 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s reciprocal tariff policy, launched in early 2025, has driven a wave of bilateral negotiations by using duties as leverage to secure lower foreign barriers and expanded U.S. export access. Multiple framework agreements emerged in 2025 with the United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, the European Union, and several Southeast Asian and Latin American partners, while 2026 has seen upgrades to full reciprocal trade arrangements plus new commitments from China on agricultural and aerospace purchases during recent summits. The administration’s 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes converting remaining frameworks into enforceable deals, enforcing existing terms, and addressing supply-chain issues with critical minerals partners. Key upcoming catalysts include ongoing talks with India, Taiwan, and additional Asian economies, plus any USMCA review outcomes that could reshape North American arrangements before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$268,681
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s reciprocal tariff policy, launched in early 2025, has driven a wave of bilateral negotiations by using duties as leverage to secure lower foreign barriers and expanded U.S. export access. Multiple framework agreements emerged in 2025 with the United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, the European Union, and several Southeast Asian and Latin American partners, while 2026 has seen upgrades to full reciprocal trade arrangements plus new commitments from China on agricultural and aerospace purchases during recent summits. The administration’s 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes converting remaining frameworks into enforceable deals, enforcing existing terms, and addressing supply-chain issues with critical minerals partners. Key upcoming catalysts include ongoing talks with India, Taiwan, and additional Asian economies, plus any USMCA review outcomes that could reshape North American arrangements before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$268,681
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "South Korea" di 27%, diikuti oleh "Canada" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 27¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $268.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" adalah "South Korea" di 27%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Canada" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.