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icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$349,238 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$349,238 Vol.

Polymarket

South Korea

$56,634 Vol.

24%

India

$60,467 Vol.

23%

United Kingdom

$441 Vol.

18%

Israel

$400 Vol.

17%

Mexico

$2,668 Vol.

16%

Taiwan

$32,449 Vol.

15%

Vietnam

$5,531 Vol.

15%

Indonesia

$19,076 Vol.

14%

South Africa

$391 Vol.

13%

Pakistan

$104,522 Vol.

12%

Canada

$2,831 Vol.

11%

Russia

$2,045 Vol.

10%

Australia

$6,127 Vol.

10%

European Union

$13,088 Vol.

8%

Argentina

$21,537 Vol.

7%

Brazil

$4,227 Vol.

6%

Japan

$16,805 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term trade strategy relies on broad tariff threats under authorities like IEEPA and Section 122 to accelerate bilateral negotiations, producing multiple framework agreements and reciprocal trade deals since early 2025. Completed or advanced pacts already cover the United Kingdom, Japan, the European Union, Indonesia, Argentina, South Korea, Vietnam, and others, often bundling tariff adjustments with purchase commitments, investment pledges, and sector-specific access in agriculture, autos, and critical minerals. Ongoing talks involve Canada and Mexico ahead of USMCA review, plus continued engagement with China and Taiwan. Upcoming catalysts include the June 2026 G7 summit and further bilateral meetings that could finalize additional frameworks before the 2027 cutoff. Trader assessments center on the administration’s emphasis on reducing deficits through enforceable, modifiable bilateral terms rather than multilateral structures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$349,238
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term trade strategy relies on broad tariff threats under authorities like IEEPA and Section 122 to accelerate bilateral negotiations, producing multiple framework agreements and reciprocal trade deals since early 2025. Completed or advanced pacts already cover the United Kingdom, Japan, the European Union, Indonesia, Argentina, South Korea, Vietnam, and others, often bundling tariff adjustments with purchase commitments, investment pledges, and sector-specific access in agriculture, autos, and critical minerals. Ongoing talks involve Canada and Mexico ahead of USMCA review, plus continued engagement with China and Taiwan. Upcoming catalysts include the June 2026 G7 summit and further bilateral meetings that could finalize additional frameworks before the 2027 cutoff. Trader assessments center on the administration’s emphasis on reducing deficits through enforceable, modifiable bilateral terms rather than multilateral structures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$349,238
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "South Korea" di 24%, diikuti oleh "India" di 23%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 24¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 24% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $349.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" adalah "South Korea" di 24%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 24% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "India" di 23%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.