No major diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled signings have emerged in recent months to indicate an imminent new accession to the Abraham Accords before the August 31 deadline. Kazakhstan formalized its entry in early 2026 following earlier announcements, while discussions involving Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others remain stalled amid longstanding conditions such as progress on Palestinian issues and regional security concerns. US administration statements linking further expansion to Iran-related talks produced no concrete commitments from additional states. Trader consensus at 97% for no new joiner reflects these structural barriers and the absence of verified momentum in the narrow remaining window, though an unexpected bilateral agreement or symbolic accession from a state with preexisting ties could still alter the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3% peluang
$53,711 Vol.
$53,711 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
3% peluang
$53,711 Vol.
$53,711 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.No major diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled signings have emerged in recent months to indicate an imminent new accession to the Abraham Accords before the August 31 deadline. Kazakhstan formalized its entry in early 2026 following earlier announcements, while discussions involving Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others remain stalled amid longstanding conditions such as progress on Palestinian issues and regional security concerns. US administration statements linking further expansion to Iran-related talks produced no concrete commitments from additional states. Trader consensus at 97% for no new joiner reflects these structural barriers and the absence of verified momentum in the narrow remaining window, though an unexpected bilateral agreement or symbolic accession from a state with preexisting ties could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$53,711Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.No major diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled signings have emerged in recent months to indicate an imminent new accession to the Abraham Accords before the August 31 deadline. Kazakhstan formalized its entry in early 2026 following earlier announcements, while discussions involving Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others remain stalled amid longstanding conditions such as progress on Palestinian issues and regional security concerns. US administration statements linking further expansion to Iran-related talks produced no concrete commitments from additional states. Trader consensus at 97% for no new joiner reflects these structural barriers and the absence of verified momentum in the narrow remaining window, though an unexpected bilateral agreement or symbolic accession from a state with preexisting ties could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,711Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No major diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled signings have emerged in recent months to indicate an imminent new accession to the Abraham Accords before the August 31 deadline. Kazakhstan formalized its entry in early 2026 following earlier announcements, while discussions involving Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others remain stalled amid longstanding conditions such as progress on Palestinian issues and regional security concerns. US administration statements linking further expansion to Iran-related talks produced no concrete commitments from additional states. Trader consensus at 97% for no new joiner reflects these structural barriers and the absence of verified momentum in the narrow remaining window, though an unexpected bilateral agreement or symbolic accession from a state with preexisting ties could still alter the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan