The ICJ case *South Africa v. Israel* remains in its written-pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due only in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder in 2029 following the court’s May 2026 order extending deadlines. No merits hearing or final judgment on whether Israel violated the Genocide Convention is scheduled before the market’s December 2027 cutoff. The ICC’s November 2024 arrest warrants target Israeli officials for war crimes and crimes against humanity, not genocide, and Israel does not recognize the court’s jurisdiction. These procedural timelines, the high evidentiary threshold for proving genocidal intent under the Convention, and limited enforcement mechanisms underpin traders’ strong consensus that no international court will issue a formal finding of genocide liability by the resolution date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui13% peluang
$99,211 Vol.
$99,211 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
13% peluang
$99,211 Vol.
$99,211 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ case *South Africa v. Israel* remains in its written-pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due only in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder in 2029 following the court’s May 2026 order extending deadlines. No merits hearing or final judgment on whether Israel violated the Genocide Convention is scheduled before the market’s December 2027 cutoff. The ICC’s November 2024 arrest warrants target Israeli officials for war crimes and crimes against humanity, not genocide, and Israel does not recognize the court’s jurisdiction. These procedural timelines, the high evidentiary threshold for proving genocidal intent under the Convention, and limited enforcement mechanisms underpin traders’ strong consensus that no international court will issue a formal finding of genocide liability by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
Volume
$99,211Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ case *South Africa v. Israel* remains in its written-pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due only in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder in 2029 following the court’s May 2026 order extending deadlines. No merits hearing or final judgment on whether Israel violated the Genocide Convention is scheduled before the market’s December 2027 cutoff. The ICC’s November 2024 arrest warrants target Israeli officials for war crimes and crimes against humanity, not genocide, and Israel does not recognize the court’s jurisdiction. These procedural timelines, the high evidentiary threshold for proving genocidal intent under the Convention, and limited enforcement mechanisms underpin traders’ strong consensus that no international court will issue a formal finding of genocide liability by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$99,211Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ICJ case *South Africa v. Israel* remains in its written-pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due only in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder in 2029 following the court’s May 2026 order extending deadlines. No merits hearing or final judgment on whether Israel violated the Genocide Convention is scheduled before the market’s December 2027 cutoff. The ICC’s November 2024 arrest warrants target Israeli officials for war crimes and crimes against humanity, not genocide, and Israel does not recognize the court’s jurisdiction. These procedural timelines, the high evidentiary threshold for proving genocidal intent under the Convention, and limited enforcement mechanisms underpin traders’ strong consensus that no international court will issue a formal finding of genocide liability by the resolution date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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