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Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?

icon for Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?

Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?

0% peluang
Polymarket

$43 Vol.

0% peluang
Polymarket

$43 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.The closely contested market odds around 50 percent for no rain in Central Park on June 9 stem from genuine uncertainty in localized precipitation data near the resolution threshold. Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance for the New York metro area showed borderline moisture transport and weak convective cells, with radar estimates differing slightly from ground-based rain gauges on total accumulation. Key variables include exact storm track timing, urban heat island effects on rainfall distribution, and measurement precision across the park's microclimate. New official verification reports expected shortly from NOAA stations should clarify totals and allow decisive market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.

Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
Volume
$43
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.The closely contested market odds around 50 percent for no rain in Central Park on June 9 stem from genuine uncertainty in localized precipitation data near the resolution threshold. Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance for the New York metro area showed borderline moisture transport and weak convective cells, with radar estimates differing slightly from ground-based rain gauges on total accumulation. Key variables include exact storm track timing, urban heat island effects on rainfall distribution, and measurement precision across the park's microclimate. New official verification reports expected shortly from NOAA stations should clarify totals and allow decisive market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.

Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
Volume
$43
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 48% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 48¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 48% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 8, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?" adalah 48% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 48% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.