Russian forces have intensified ground assaults and infiltration attempts in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, part of broader efforts to reach the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration, with recent reports indicating control of roughly 85 percent of the settlement amid heavy fighting. Ukrainian brigades have repelled multiple mechanized attacks involving hundreds of troops and vehicles, inflicting substantial Russian casualties while facing pressure from increased infantry waves and limited drone support due to dense frontline air defenses. Poor weather has aided some Russian probing operations northwest of Lyman and east of Slovyansk, though no major territorial gains were confirmed in early May assessments. Ukrainian forces continue to strike Russian positions and logistics, maintaining defensive lines that have historically stalled advances toward this key Donbas hub since 2022.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· DiperbaruiWill Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
$194,242 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
June 30
2%
December 31
26%
$194,242 Vol.
June 30
$44,791 Vol.
2%
December 31
$149,450 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to βYesβ if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast, (48.990595Β° N, 37.805666Β° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Lyman will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to βNoβ.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this marketβs resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either βAssessed Russian Controlβ, βAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraineβ, or βAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hoursβ will qualify. βAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraineβ will not qualify.
The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Once Russia captures the entirety of the specified area, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/D8z4nAHJuu6DW8nX9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.Russian forces have intensified ground assaults and infiltration attempts in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, part of broader efforts to reach the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration, with recent reports indicating control of roughly 85 percent of the settlement amid heavy fighting. Ukrainian brigades have repelled multiple mechanized attacks involving hundreds of troops and vehicles, inflicting substantial Russian casualties while facing pressure from increased infantry waves and limited drone support due to dense frontline air defenses. Poor weather has aided some Russian probing operations northwest of Lyman and east of Slovyansk, though no major territorial gains were confirmed in early May assessments. Ukrainian forces continue to strike Russian positions and logistics, maintaining defensive lines that have historically stalled advances toward this key Donbas hub since 2022.
This market will resolve to βYesβ if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast, (48.990595Β° N, 37.805666Β° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Lyman will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to βNoβ.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this marketβs resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either βAssessed Russian Controlβ, βAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraineβ, or βAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hoursβ will qualify. βAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraineβ will not qualify.
The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Once Russia captures the entirety of the specified area, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/D8z4nAHJuu6DW8nX9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Lyman will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to βNoβ.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this marketβs resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either βAssessed Russian Controlβ, βAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraineβ, or βAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hoursβ will qualify. βAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraineβ will not qualify.
The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Once Russia captures the entirety of the specified area, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/D8z4nAHJuu6DW8nX9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 19, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Volume
$194,242Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 19, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to βYesβ if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast, (48.990595Β° N, 37.805666Β° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Lyman will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to βNoβ.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this marketβs resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either βAssessed Russian Controlβ, βAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraineβ, or βAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hoursβ will qualify. βAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraineβ will not qualify.
The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Once Russia captures the entirety of the specified area, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/D8z4nAHJuu6DW8nX9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.Russian forces have intensified ground assaults and infiltration attempts in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, part of broader efforts to reach the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration, with recent reports indicating control of roughly 85 percent of the settlement amid heavy fighting. Ukrainian brigades have repelled multiple mechanized attacks involving hundreds of troops and vehicles, inflicting substantial Russian casualties while facing pressure from increased infantry waves and limited drone support due to dense frontline air defenses. Poor weather has aided some Russian probing operations northwest of Lyman and east of Slovyansk, though no major territorial gains were confirmed in early May assessments. Ukrainian forces continue to strike Russian positions and logistics, maintaining defensive lines that have historically stalled advances toward this key Donbas hub since 2022.
This market will resolve to βYesβ if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast, (48.990595Β° N, 37.805666Β° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Lyman will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to βNoβ.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this marketβs resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either βAssessed Russian Controlβ, βAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraineβ, or βAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hoursβ will qualify. βAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraineβ will not qualify.
The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Once Russia captures the entirety of the specified area, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/D8z4nAHJuu6DW8nX9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Lyman will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to βNoβ.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this marketβs resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either βAssessed Russian Controlβ, βAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraineβ, or βAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hoursβ will qualify. βAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraineβ will not qualify.
The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Once Russia captures the entirety of the specified area, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/D8z4nAHJuu6DW8nX9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Volume
$194,242Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 19, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have intensified ground assaults and infiltration attempts in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, part of broader efforts to reach the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration, with recent reports indicating control of roughly 85 percent of the settlement amid heavy fighting. Ukrainian brigades have repelled multiple mechanized attacks involving hundreds of troops and vehicles, inflicting substantial Russian casualties while facing pressure from increased infantry waves and limited drone support due to dense frontline air defenses. Poor weather has aided some Russian probing operations northwest of Lyman and east of Slovyansk, though no major territorial gains were confirmed in early May assessments. Ukrainian forces continue to strike Russian positions and logistics, maintaining defensive lines that have historically stalled advances toward this key Donbas hub since 2022.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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