Russian forces claimed control of the settlement of Shevchenko in Ukraine’s Donetsk region on July 26, 2026, as part of broader advances in the Dobropillya tactical area during the ongoing spring-summer offensive. Ukrainian units conducted counterattacks near the village in late July and early August, with open-source assessments noting limited confirmed Russian progress and continued fighting in surrounding sectors. These frontline developments, alongside net Russian territorial gains of roughly 36 square kilometers across Donetsk Oblast in July, shape trader assessments of whether Moscow will secure or hold the settlement by the market’s resolution date. Scheduled Ukrainian defensive operations and any shifts in Russian force concentration remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Russia capture Shevchenko by...?
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by...?
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
27%
October 31
50%
$40 Vol.
August 31
$20 Vol.
27%
October 31
$20 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces claimed control of the settlement of Shevchenko in Ukraine’s Donetsk region on July 26, 2026, as part of broader advances in the Dobropillya tactical area during the ongoing spring-summer offensive. Ukrainian units conducted counterattacks near the village in late July and early August, with open-source assessments noting limited confirmed Russian progress and continued fighting in surrounding sectors. These frontline developments, alongside net Russian territorial gains of roughly 36 square kilometers across Donetsk Oblast in July, shape trader assessments of whether Moscow will secure or hold the settlement by the market’s resolution date. Scheduled Ukrainian defensive operations and any shifts in Russian force concentration remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
Volume
$40Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 8:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces claimed control of the settlement of Shevchenko in Ukraine’s Donetsk region on July 26, 2026, as part of broader advances in the Dobropillya tactical area during the ongoing spring-summer offensive. Ukrainian units conducted counterattacks near the village in late July and early August, with open-source assessments noting limited confirmed Russian progress and continued fighting in surrounding sectors. These frontline developments, alongside net Russian territorial gains of roughly 36 square kilometers across Donetsk Oblast in July, shape trader assessments of whether Moscow will secure or hold the settlement by the market’s resolution date. Scheduled Ukrainian defensive operations and any shifts in Russian force concentration remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volume
$40Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 8:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces claimed control of the settlement of Shevchenko in Ukraine’s Donetsk region on July 26, 2026, as part of broader advances in the Dobropillya tactical area during the ongoing spring-summer offensive. Ukrainian units conducted counterattacks near the village in late July and early August, with open-source assessments noting limited confirmed Russian progress and continued fighting in surrounding sectors. These frontline developments, alongside net Russian territorial gains of roughly 36 square kilometers across Donetsk Oblast in July, shape trader assessments of whether Moscow will secure or hold the settlement by the market’s resolution date. Scheduled Ukrainian defensive operations and any shifts in Russian force concentration remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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