Stripe’s $53 billion joint bid with Advent International in July 2026, offering $60.50 per share for PayPal, initially lifted shares but was rejected by the board seeking a higher price, leaving talks stalled as of mid-August. PayPal’s $33 billion-plus 2025 revenue and consumer base contrast with Stripe’s stronger $6.8 billion revenue run rate and $159 billion valuation, reducing urgency for a full acquisition. Regulatory scrutiny for a deal of this scale, financing commitments, and the compressed timeline to year-end further temper completion odds, aligning with the 64.5% market-implied probability of no transaction in 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui38% peluang
$80,858 Vol.
$80,858 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
38% peluang
$80,858 Vol.
$80,858 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stripe’s $53 billion joint bid with Advent International in July 2026, offering $60.50 per share for PayPal, initially lifted shares but was rejected by the board seeking a higher price, leaving talks stalled as of mid-August. PayPal’s $33 billion-plus 2025 revenue and consumer base contrast with Stripe’s stronger $6.8 billion revenue run rate and $159 billion valuation, reducing urgency for a full acquisition. Regulatory scrutiny for a deal of this scale, financing commitments, and the compressed timeline to year-end further temper completion odds, aligning with the 64.5% market-implied probability of no transaction in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$80,858Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stripe’s $53 billion joint bid with Advent International in July 2026, offering $60.50 per share for PayPal, initially lifted shares but was rejected by the board seeking a higher price, leaving talks stalled as of mid-August. PayPal’s $33 billion-plus 2025 revenue and consumer base contrast with Stripe’s stronger $6.8 billion revenue run rate and $159 billion valuation, reducing urgency for a full acquisition. Regulatory scrutiny for a deal of this scale, financing commitments, and the compressed timeline to year-end further temper completion odds, aligning with the 64.5% market-implied probability of no transaction in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,858Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stripe’s $53 billion joint bid with Advent International in July 2026, offering $60.50 per share for PayPal, initially lifted shares but was rejected by the board seeking a higher price, leaving talks stalled as of mid-August. PayPal’s $33 billion-plus 2025 revenue and consumer base contrast with Stripe’s stronger $6.8 billion revenue run rate and $159 billion valuation, reducing urgency for a full acquisition. Regulatory scrutiny for a deal of this scale, financing commitments, and the compressed timeline to year-end further temper completion odds, aligning with the 64.5% market-implied probability of no transaction in 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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