President Trump's expected attendance at the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7-8 remains the trader consensus at 73% Yes, bolstered by Turkish diplomats' May 1 assurances that his participation is confirmed behind closed doors, citing personal ties with President Erdogan and a deliberately shortened agenda to suit his preferences. This follows his presence at the 2025 Hague summit despite criticisms. Recent tensions—late April reports of NATO eyeing biennial meetings to sidestep clashes, plus early May announcements of 5,000 U.S. troop withdrawals from Germany over allies' limited support in regional operations—have capped odds below 90%, with Secretary General Mark Rutte noting sustained U.S. commitment on May 14. No White House travel signal has emerged to alter expectations.
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Jul 8, 2026
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Jul 8, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's expected attendance at the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7-8 remains the trader consensus at 73% Yes, bolstered by Turkish diplomats' May 1 assurances that his participation is confirmed behind closed doors, citing personal ties with President Erdogan and a deliberately shortened agenda to suit his preferences. This follows his presence at the 2025 Hague summit despite criticisms. Recent tensions—late April reports of NATO eyeing biennial meetings to sidestep clashes, plus early May announcements of 5,000 U.S. troop withdrawals from Germany over allies' limited support in regional operations—have capped odds below 90%, with Secretary General Mark Rutte noting sustained U.S. commitment on May 14. No White House travel signal has emerged to alter expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
Volume
$5,723Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's expected attendance at the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7-8 remains the trader consensus at 73% Yes, bolstered by Turkish diplomats' May 1 assurances that his participation is confirmed behind closed doors, citing personal ties with President Erdogan and a deliberately shortened agenda to suit his preferences. This follows his presence at the 2025 Hague summit despite criticisms. Recent tensions—late April reports of NATO eyeing biennial meetings to sidestep clashes, plus early May announcements of 5,000 U.S. troop withdrawals from Germany over allies' limited support in regional operations—have capped odds below 90%, with Secretary General Mark Rutte noting sustained U.S. commitment on May 14. No White House travel signal has emerged to alter expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,723Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's expected attendance at the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7-8 remains the trader consensus at 73% Yes, bolstered by Turkish diplomats' May 1 assurances that his participation is confirmed behind closed doors, citing personal ties with President Erdogan and a deliberately shortened agenda to suit his preferences. This follows his presence at the 2025 Hague summit despite criticisms. Recent tensions—late April reports of NATO eyeing biennial meetings to sidestep clashes, plus early May announcements of 5,000 U.S. troop withdrawals from Germany over allies' limited support in regional operations—have capped odds below 90%, with Secretary General Mark Rutte noting sustained U.S. commitment on May 14. No White House travel signal has emerged to alter expectations.
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