NATO and EU member states continue to provide substantial military aid, training, and air defense support to Ukraine without deploying official combat troops into the conflict. Recent statements from UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer indicate willingness to contribute personnel only as part of security guarantees tied to a future Russia peace deal, while NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has reiterated there are no plans for alliance troops to enter Ukraine. Discussions among a UK-France-led group have similarly focused on potential post-ceasefire roles rather than immediate combat involvement. NATO has instead reinforced its eastern flank battlegroups in member states and extended non-combat EU training missions. Trader consensus in related markets reflects these structural barriers, with low implied probabilities for combat deployments by late 2026 absent major escalations or verified ceasefire agreements.