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Politica·Primarie

Vincitore Primarie Repubblicane AL-01

icon for Vincitore Primarie Repubblicane AL-01
Politica·Primarie

Vincitore Primarie Repubblicane AL-01

Jerry Carl 77%

Rhett Marques 9%

Austin Sidwell 3.1%

James Dees 2.4%

Polymarket

$40,612 Vol.

Jerry Carl 77%

Rhett Marques 9%

Austin Sidwell 3.1%

James Dees 2.4%

Polymarket

$40,612 Vol.

Jerry Carl

$1,219 Vol.

75%

Rhett Marques

$324 Vol.

9%

Austin Sidwell

$13,603 Vol.

3%

James Dees

$4,297 Vol.

2%

James Richardson

$5,651 Vol.

2%

Joshua McKee

$174 Vol.

2%

John Mills

$15,343 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl's prior service as the district's U.S. representative through 2024, combined with strong early fundraising and name recognition in Mobile and Baldwin counties, has established him as the clear frontrunner in Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary. With the seat opening after incumbent Barry Moore's Senate bid, recent polling from April and May shows Carl maintaining a modest lead over state Representative Rhett Marques amid high undecided shares, while Marques has secured endorsements from figures like Senator Katie Britt and built a sizable campaign reserve. Other candidates including Austin Sidwell, James Dees, James Richardson, Joshua McKee, and John Mills remain far behind in both fundraising and voter awareness as the May 19 primary nears. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these dynamics, though the race's competitiveness leaves room for last-minute shifts from turnout or final advertising pushes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,612
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl's prior service as the district's U.S. representative through 2024, combined with strong early fundraising and name recognition in Mobile and Baldwin counties, has established him as the clear frontrunner in Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary. With the seat opening after incumbent Barry Moore's Senate bid, recent polling from April and May shows Carl maintaining a modest lead over state Representative Rhett Marques amid high undecided shares, while Marques has secured endorsements from figures like Senator Katie Britt and built a sizable campaign reserve. Other candidates including Austin Sidwell, James Dees, James Richardson, Joshua McKee, and John Mills remain far behind in both fundraising and voter awareness as the May 19 primary nears. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these dynamics, though the race's competitiveness leaves room for last-minute shifts from turnout or final advertising pushes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,612
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore Primarie Repubblicane AL-01" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jerry Carl" a 75%, seguito da "Rhett Marques" a 9%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 75¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 75% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore Primarie Repubblicane AL-01" ha generato $40.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 26, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore Primarie Repubblicane AL-01", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore Primarie Repubblicane AL-01" è "Jerry Carl" a 75%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 75% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Rhett Marques" a 9%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore Primarie Repubblicane AL-01" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.