Market-implied odds heavily favor a Bank of Israel rate cut in late May, reflecting the central bank's established easing bias after two 25-basis-point reductions earlier in 2026 brought the benchmark to 4.00 percent. The March hold was viewed as a temporary pause amid geopolitical tensions and a brief energy-driven inflation uptick, rather than a shift in stance, especially as the bank's own 2026 inflation forecast now sits comfortably at 1.7–2.2 percent within the 1–3 percent target range. One-year expectations have since stabilized near 1.5–2.0 percent, while Israeli banks have already begun trimming deposit rates in anticipation of a move to 3.75 percent. With April CPI data due shortly and the May 25 decision approaching, traders see resilient yet non-inflationary growth supporting a resumption of gradual policy easing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDecisione della Banca d'Israele a maggio?
Riduzione 80%
Nessuna modifica 19%
Aumento <1%
$41,039 Vol.
$41,039 Vol.
Riduzione
80%
Nessuna modifica
19%
Aumento
1%
Riduzione 80%
Nessuna modifica 19%
Aumento <1%
$41,039 Vol.
$41,039 Vol.
Riduzione
80%
Nessuna modifica
19%
Aumento
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercato aperto: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds heavily favor a Bank of Israel rate cut in late May, reflecting the central bank's established easing bias after two 25-basis-point reductions earlier in 2026 brought the benchmark to 4.00 percent. The March hold was viewed as a temporary pause amid geopolitical tensions and a brief energy-driven inflation uptick, rather than a shift in stance, especially as the bank's own 2026 inflation forecast now sits comfortably at 1.7–2.2 percent within the 1–3 percent target range. One-year expectations have since stabilized near 1.5–2.0 percent, while Israeli banks have already begun trimming deposit rates in anticipation of a move to 3.75 percent. With April CPI data due shortly and the May 25 decision approaching, traders see resilient yet non-inflationary growth supporting a resumption of gradual policy easing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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