The 86.5% trader consensus against repeal before 2027 stems from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), enacted in July 2025, which permanently revised IRC Section 165(d) to cap deductible gambling losses at 90% of winnings effective January 1, 2026. Bipartisan repeal legislation, including the FULL HOUSE Act and measures led by Representatives Titus, Miller, and Horsford, has been introduced but stalled amid procedural hurdles, competing tax priorities, and divided congressional calendars in 2026. Recent advocacy, such as UFC's Dana White urging reversal in May 2026, produced only temporary shifts in related markets before momentum faded. With the change already in force for tax year 2026 and limited remaining legislative time, traders see few viable paths to full restoration of the prior 100% deduction by the end of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$70,216 Vol.
$70,216 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$70,216 Vol.
$70,216 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 86.5% trader consensus against repeal before 2027 stems from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), enacted in July 2025, which permanently revised IRC Section 165(d) to cap deductible gambling losses at 90% of winnings effective January 1, 2026. Bipartisan repeal legislation, including the FULL HOUSE Act and measures led by Representatives Titus, Miller, and Horsford, has been introduced but stalled amid procedural hurdles, competing tax priorities, and divided congressional calendars in 2026. Recent advocacy, such as UFC's Dana White urging reversal in May 2026, produced only temporary shifts in related markets before momentum faded. With the change already in force for tax year 2026 and limited remaining legislative time, traders see few viable paths to full restoration of the prior 100% deduction by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$70,216Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 86.5% trader consensus against repeal before 2027 stems from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), enacted in July 2025, which permanently revised IRC Section 165(d) to cap deductible gambling losses at 90% of winnings effective January 1, 2026. Bipartisan repeal legislation, including the FULL HOUSE Act and measures led by Representatives Titus, Miller, and Horsford, has been introduced but stalled amid procedural hurdles, competing tax priorities, and divided congressional calendars in 2026. Recent advocacy, such as UFC's Dana White urging reversal in May 2026, produced only temporary shifts in related markets before momentum faded. With the change already in force for tax year 2026 and limited remaining legislative time, traders see few viable paths to full restoration of the prior 100% deduction by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$70,216Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 86.5% trader consensus against repeal before 2027 stems from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), enacted in July 2025, which permanently revised IRC Section 165(d) to cap deductible gambling losses at 90% of winnings effective January 1, 2026. Bipartisan repeal legislation, including the FULL HOUSE Act and measures led by Representatives Titus, Miller, and Horsford, has been introduced but stalled amid procedural hurdles, competing tax priorities, and divided congressional calendars in 2026. Recent advocacy, such as UFC's Dana White urging reversal in May 2026, produced only temporary shifts in related markets before momentum faded. With the change already in force for tax year 2026 and limited remaining legislative time, traders see few viable paths to full restoration of the prior 100% deduction by the end of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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