Recent legislative inaction and stalled repeal efforts explain why traders assign a 64.5% probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions will remain in place through 2026. Enacted via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in 2025 and effective for tax year 2026, the provision limits deductions to 90% of winnings despite prior full offsetting. Bipartisan measures such as the FAIR BET Act advanced in early 2026 but faced committee blocks and limited floor consideration amid broader tax reform priorities. Industry advocacy, including UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 letter to President Trump, briefly lifted repeal odds on prediction markets before momentum faded without a viable legislative vehicle. Fiscal scoring concerns and competing congressional agenda items continue to constrain near-term action, reinforcing trader consensus that repeal before 2027 is unlikely absent new developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$68,293 Vol.
$68,293 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$68,293 Vol.
$68,293 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent legislative inaction and stalled repeal efforts explain why traders assign a 64.5% probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions will remain in place through 2026. Enacted via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in 2025 and effective for tax year 2026, the provision limits deductions to 90% of winnings despite prior full offsetting. Bipartisan measures such as the FAIR BET Act advanced in early 2026 but faced committee blocks and limited floor consideration amid broader tax reform priorities. Industry advocacy, including UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 letter to President Trump, briefly lifted repeal odds on prediction markets before momentum faded without a viable legislative vehicle. Fiscal scoring concerns and competing congressional agenda items continue to constrain near-term action, reinforcing trader consensus that repeal before 2027 is unlikely absent new developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$68,293Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent legislative inaction and stalled repeal efforts explain why traders assign a 64.5% probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions will remain in place through 2026. Enacted via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in 2025 and effective for tax year 2026, the provision limits deductions to 90% of winnings despite prior full offsetting. Bipartisan measures such as the FAIR BET Act advanced in early 2026 but faced committee blocks and limited floor consideration amid broader tax reform priorities. Industry advocacy, including UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 letter to President Trump, briefly lifted repeal odds on prediction markets before momentum faded without a viable legislative vehicle. Fiscal scoring concerns and competing congressional agenda items continue to constrain near-term action, reinforcing trader consensus that repeal before 2027 is unlikely absent new developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$68,293Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent legislative inaction and stalled repeal efforts explain why traders assign a 64.5% probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions will remain in place through 2026. Enacted via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in 2025 and effective for tax year 2026, the provision limits deductions to 90% of winnings despite prior full offsetting. Bipartisan measures such as the FAIR BET Act advanced in early 2026 but faced committee blocks and limited floor consideration amid broader tax reform priorities. Industry advocacy, including UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 letter to President Trump, briefly lifted repeal odds on prediction markets before momentum faded without a viable legislative vehicle. Fiscal scoring concerns and competing congressional agenda items continue to constrain near-term action, reinforcing trader consensus that repeal before 2027 is unlikely absent new developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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