The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, limiting itemized deductions to 90% of losses (still capped at winnings) and creating potential phantom income even for break-even gamblers. Repeal efforts, including the bipartisan FAIR Bet Act introduced in 2025, have stalled in committee despite a discharge petition and industry advocacy from groups such as the American Gaming Association targeting retroactive restoration by year-end 2026. A May 2026 appeal from UFC's Dana White briefly lifted repeal odds before they receded, reflecting limited legislative momentum, competing priorities, and insufficient votes in the current Congress. With only months remaining before 2027 tax filings, traders assign low probability to timely passage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
17% probabilità
$71,078 Vol.
$71,078 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
17% probabilità
$71,078 Vol.
$71,078 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, limiting itemized deductions to 90% of losses (still capped at winnings) and creating potential phantom income even for break-even gamblers. Repeal efforts, including the bipartisan FAIR Bet Act introduced in 2025, have stalled in committee despite a discharge petition and industry advocacy from groups such as the American Gaming Association targeting retroactive restoration by year-end 2026. A May 2026 appeal from UFC's Dana White briefly lifted repeal odds before they receded, reflecting limited legislative momentum, competing priorities, and insufficient votes in the current Congress. With only months remaining before 2027 tax filings, traders assign low probability to timely passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$71,078Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, limiting itemized deductions to 90% of losses (still capped at winnings) and creating potential phantom income even for break-even gamblers. Repeal efforts, including the bipartisan FAIR Bet Act introduced in 2025, have stalled in committee despite a discharge petition and industry advocacy from groups such as the American Gaming Association targeting retroactive restoration by year-end 2026. A May 2026 appeal from UFC's Dana White briefly lifted repeal odds before they receded, reflecting limited legislative momentum, competing priorities, and insufficient votes in the current Congress. With only months remaining before 2027 tax filings, traders assign low probability to timely passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$71,078Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, limiting itemized deductions to 90% of losses (still capped at winnings) and creating potential phantom income even for break-even gamblers. Repeal efforts, including the bipartisan FAIR Bet Act introduced in 2025, have stalled in committee despite a discharge petition and industry advocacy from groups such as the American Gaming Association targeting retroactive restoration by year-end 2026. A May 2026 appeal from UFC's Dana White briefly lifted repeal odds before they receded, reflecting limited legislative momentum, competing priorities, and insufficient votes in the current Congress. With only months remaining before 2027 tax filings, traders assign low probability to timely passage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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