Costco’s longstanding commitment to its $1.50 hot dog and soda combo, reinforced by CEO Ron Vachris’s March 2026 statement that the price “will not change as long as I’m around,” underpins the 91% market-implied probability that no increase occurs before 2027. The company maintains this pricing through vertical integration of hot dog production and selective supplier switches, absorbing inflation pressures—currently estimated at over $3 in real terms since the 1980s—while recent April 2026 menu adjustments added a bottled water option without altering the core price. Trader consensus reflects this policy continuity and strong brand signaling, though a successor transition or sharp input cost spikes could introduce modest upside risk to an increase.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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31 dic 2026
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31 dic 2026
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco’s longstanding commitment to its $1.50 hot dog and soda combo, reinforced by CEO Ron Vachris’s March 2026 statement that the price “will not change as long as I’m around,” underpins the 91% market-implied probability that no increase occurs before 2027. The company maintains this pricing through vertical integration of hot dog production and selective supplier switches, absorbing inflation pressures—currently estimated at over $3 in real terms since the 1980s—while recent April 2026 menu adjustments added a bottled water option without altering the core price. Trader consensus reflects this policy continuity and strong brand signaling, though a successor transition or sharp input cost spikes could introduce modest upside risk to an increase.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
Volume
$9,679Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco’s longstanding commitment to its $1.50 hot dog and soda combo, reinforced by CEO Ron Vachris’s March 2026 statement that the price “will not change as long as I’m around,” underpins the 91% market-implied probability that no increase occurs before 2027. The company maintains this pricing through vertical integration of hot dog production and selective supplier switches, absorbing inflation pressures—currently estimated at over $3 in real terms since the 1980s—while recent April 2026 menu adjustments added a bottled water option without altering the core price. Trader consensus reflects this policy continuity and strong brand signaling, though a successor transition or sharp input cost spikes could introduce modest upside risk to an increase.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$9,679Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco’s longstanding commitment to its $1.50 hot dog and soda combo, reinforced by CEO Ron Vachris’s March 2026 statement that the price “will not change as long as I’m around,” underpins the 91% market-implied probability that no increase occurs before 2027. The company maintains this pricing through vertical integration of hot dog production and selective supplier switches, absorbing inflation pressures—currently estimated at over $3 in real terms since the 1980s—while recent April 2026 menu adjustments added a bottled water option without altering the core price. Trader consensus reflects this policy continuity and strong brand signaling, though a successor transition or sharp input cost spikes could introduce modest upside risk to an increase.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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