Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes (D-CT), seeking an 18th year in office, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District House race, anchored by the district's strong partisan lean—President Biden carried it by 18 points in 2020—and Himes' fundraising edge exceeding $1 million with no serious Republican challenger filed to date. His May 11 Democratic nomination convention signaled robust party backing ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Barring a high-profile GOP recruit, personal scandal involving Himes, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, this safe Democratic seat faces low upset risk.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCT-04 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
CT-04 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$31,182 Vol.
$31,182 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
93%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
$31,182 Vol.
$31,182 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$13,407 Vol.
93%
Partito Repubblicano
$17,775 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes (D-CT), seeking an 18th year in office, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District House race, anchored by the district's strong partisan lean—President Biden carried it by 18 points in 2020—and Himes' fundraising edge exceeding $1 million with no serious Republican challenger filed to date. His May 11 Democratic nomination convention signaled robust party backing ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Barring a high-profile GOP recruit, personal scandal involving Himes, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, this safe Democratic seat faces low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$31,182Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes (D-CT), seeking an 18th year in office, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District House race, anchored by the district's strong partisan lean—President Biden carried it by 18 points in 2020—and Himes' fundraising edge exceeding $1 million with no serious Republican challenger filed to date. His May 11 Democratic nomination convention signaled robust party backing ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Barring a high-profile GOP recruit, personal scandal involving Himes, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, this safe Democratic seat faces low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,182Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes (D-CT), seeking an 18th year in office, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District House race, anchored by the district's strong partisan lean—President Biden carried it by 18 points in 2020—and Himes' fundraising edge exceeding $1 million with no serious Republican challenger filed to date. His May 11 Democratic nomination convention signaled robust party backing ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Barring a high-profile GOP recruit, personal scandal involving Himes, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, this safe Democratic seat faces low upset risk.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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