Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's D+3 partisan voting index and her 53.4% victory in 2024. The district, covering areas including Danbury and Waterbury, has favored Democrats in recent cycles despite occasional narrow margins. Republican nominee Chris Shea, a firefighter who secured his party's nod in the August 11 primary, faces the typical challenges of an underfunded challenger in a modestly Democratic-leaning territory. Trader consensus at 93.8% for Democrats aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. Late national political shifts, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected developments affecting Hayes could narrow the gap, though structural factors currently anchor the outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCT-05 House Election Winner
CT-05 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,565 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$2,591 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's D+3 partisan voting index and her 53.4% victory in 2024. The district, covering areas including Danbury and Waterbury, has favored Democrats in recent cycles despite occasional narrow margins. Republican nominee Chris Shea, a firefighter who secured his party's nod in the August 11 primary, faces the typical challenges of an underfunded challenger in a modestly Democratic-leaning territory. Trader consensus at 93.8% for Democrats aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. Late national political shifts, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected developments affecting Hayes could narrow the gap, though structural factors currently anchor the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$6,156Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's D+3 partisan voting index and her 53.4% victory in 2024. The district, covering areas including Danbury and Waterbury, has favored Democrats in recent cycles despite occasional narrow margins. Republican nominee Chris Shea, a firefighter who secured his party's nod in the August 11 primary, faces the typical challenges of an underfunded challenger in a modestly Democratic-leaning territory. Trader consensus at 93.8% for Democrats aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. Late national political shifts, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected developments affecting Hayes could narrow the gap, though structural factors currently anchor the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,156Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's D+3 partisan voting index and her 53.4% victory in 2024. The district, covering areas including Danbury and Waterbury, has favored Democrats in recent cycles despite occasional narrow margins. Republican nominee Chris Shea, a firefighter who secured his party's nod in the August 11 primary, faces the typical challenges of an underfunded challenger in a modestly Democratic-leaning territory. Trader consensus at 93.8% for Democrats aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. Late national political shifts, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected developments affecting Hayes could narrow the gap, though structural factors currently anchor the outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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