Elon Musk's consistent daily posting volume around 20 tweets has anchored trader consensus on the 160-179 bracket for the August 7-14 window, reflecting his established rhythm on X without major spikes from breaking news or platform events. Historical patterns show weekly totals frequently landing in the 140-200 range during routine periods, with recent data from early August confirming a steady pace near 22 posts per day. Upcoming chart-lock timing on August 14 leaves limited room for volatility unless a high-engagement thread or controversy emerges, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on this mid-range outcome as the clearest expression of current activity levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato160-179 60%
140-159 28%
180-199 14%
200-219 2.1%
$2,183,842 Vol.
$2,183,842 Vol.
14 ago 2026
120-139
<1%
140-159
28%
160-179
60%
180-199
14%
200-219
2%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 60%
140-159 28%
180-199 14%
200-219 2.1%
$2,183,842 Vol.
$2,183,842 Vol.
14 ago 2026
120-139
$304,355 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$203,772 Vol.
28%
160-179
$114,857 Vol.
60%
180-199
$149,781 Vol.
14%
200-219
$127,877 Vol.
2%
220-239
$131,615 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$162,299 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$117,345 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$82,283 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$73,202 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$50,309 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$51,158 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$33,043 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$35,175 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$23,258 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$19,423 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$12,673 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$10,346 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$10,196 Vol.
<1%
500+
$32,807 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's consistent daily posting volume around 20 tweets has anchored trader consensus on the 160-179 bracket for the August 7-14 window, reflecting his established rhythm on X without major spikes from breaking news or platform events. Historical patterns show weekly totals frequently landing in the 140-200 range during routine periods, with recent data from early August confirming a steady pace near 22 posts per day. Upcoming chart-lock timing on August 14 leaves limited room for volatility unless a high-engagement thread or controversy emerges, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on this mid-range outcome as the clearest expression of current activity levels.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$2,183,842Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's consistent daily posting volume around 20 tweets has anchored trader consensus on the 160-179 bracket for the August 7-14 window, reflecting his established rhythm on X without major spikes from breaking news or platform events. Historical patterns show weekly totals frequently landing in the 140-200 range during routine periods, with recent data from early August confirming a steady pace near 22 posts per day. Upcoming chart-lock timing on August 14 leaves limited room for volatility unless a high-engagement thread or controversy emerges, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on this mid-range outcome as the clearest expression of current activity levels.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,183,842Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's consistent daily posting volume around 20 tweets has anchored trader consensus on the 160-179 bracket for the August 7-14 window, reflecting his established rhythm on X without major spikes from breaking news or platform events. Historical patterns show weekly totals frequently landing in the 140-200 range during routine periods, with recent data from early August confirming a steady pace near 22 posts per day. Upcoming chart-lock timing on August 14 leaves limited room for volatility unless a high-engagement thread or controversy emerges, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on this mid-range outcome as the clearest expression of current activity levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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