Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 holds near-certain market-implied odds for the #2 spot on Netflix’s U.S. charts because it debuted just days earlier as the latest installment in a proven true-crime franchise, fueled by previously unreleased prison recordings and extensive Tudum promotion. Its timely subject matter and three-episode format have driven immediate viewing momentum, consistent with Netflix’s historical performance for similar docuseries releases. Tires: Season 3, which also launched mid-August, has settled into lower chart positions after its initial surge, reflecting the typical trajectory for returning comedies facing ongoing competition. An upset would require a sharp, sustained rebound in Tires’ weekly views or an unexpected drop in the Manson series’ performance before the week’s data locks.