Trader consensus on Polymarket pins the United Kingdom as the frontrunner for last place in the Eurovision 2026 grand final at 36% implied probability, with host Austria close behind at 27.5% and Germany at 19%, driven by underwhelming Big Five entries amid a stacked field bolstered by Semi-Final 1 qualifiers like Finland, Greece, and Sweden. The UK's experimental "Eins, Zwei, Drei" by Look Mum No Computer—featuring mad-scientist vibes, German lyrics, and computer-costumed dancers—earned quirky rehearsal clips but dismal fan poll rankings and nul points televote predictions, echoing historical UK struggles. Austria's COSMÓ with "Tanzschein" faces host-nation pressure and scathing "last-place song" critiques, while Germany's Sarah Engels "Fire" delivers solid powerhouse staging yet lacks breakout momentum. Key swing factors include tomorrow's May 16 final running order, jury novelty points versus televote apathy, and any late rehearsal surprises in Vienna.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEurovision Last Place 2026
Eurovision Last Place 2026
Regno Unito 36%
Austria 28%
Germania 20%
Belgio 10.8%
$134,301 Vol.
$134,301 Vol.

Regno Unito
36%

Austria
28%

Germania
20%

Belgio
11%

Romania
4%

Cipro
3%

Malta
3%

Danimarca
2%

Lituania
2%

Italia
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Polonia
1%

Croazia
1%

Serbia
1%

Albania
1%

Francia
1%

Ucraina
1%

Cechia
1%

Svezia
1%

Norvegia
<1%

Moldavia
<1%

Israele
<1%

Australia
<1%

Grecia
<1%

Lettonia
<1%

Lussemburgo
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaigian
<1%

Finlandia
<1%

Svizzera
<1%
Regno Unito 36%
Austria 28%
Germania 20%
Belgio 10.8%
$134,301 Vol.
$134,301 Vol.

Regno Unito
36%

Austria
28%

Germania
20%

Belgio
11%

Romania
4%

Cipro
3%

Malta
3%

Danimarca
2%

Lituania
2%

Italia
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Polonia
1%

Croazia
1%

Serbia
1%

Albania
1%

Francia
1%

Ucraina
1%

Cechia
1%

Svezia
1%

Norvegia
<1%

Moldavia
<1%

Israele
<1%

Australia
<1%

Grecia
<1%

Lettonia
<1%

Lussemburgo
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaigian
<1%

Finlandia
<1%

Svizzera
<1%
If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pins the United Kingdom as the frontrunner for last place in the Eurovision 2026 grand final at 36% implied probability, with host Austria close behind at 27.5% and Germany at 19%, driven by underwhelming Big Five entries amid a stacked field bolstered by Semi-Final 1 qualifiers like Finland, Greece, and Sweden. The UK's experimental "Eins, Zwei, Drei" by Look Mum No Computer—featuring mad-scientist vibes, German lyrics, and computer-costumed dancers—earned quirky rehearsal clips but dismal fan poll rankings and nul points televote predictions, echoing historical UK struggles. Austria's COSMÓ with "Tanzschein" faces host-nation pressure and scathing "last-place song" critiques, while Germany's Sarah Engels "Fire" delivers solid powerhouse staging yet lacks breakout momentum. Key swing factors include tomorrow's May 16 final running order, jury novelty points versus televote apathy, and any late rehearsal surprises in Vienna.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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