Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 margin of victory market favors a 25-49 point winning gap at 34.5% implied probability, driven by the competitive grand final field finalized after Thursday's second semi-final qualifiers, including powerhouses like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Monroe and Greece's "Ferto" alongside televote threats from Israel. With no overwhelming frontrunner—Finland leads winner odds at 46% but faces jury-televote splits favoring Israel (50% for public vote) and others like Denmark or France—traders anticipate a moderate margin akin to recent contests like 2024's 44-point Ukraine-Italy gap or 2021's razor-thin 25 points. Historical patterns in balanced 26-act finals, combined with Vienna's running order draw, underscore uncertainty ahead of Saturday's May 16 finale, where diaspora voting and ballad momentum could tighten or widen the race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
25-49 35%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 mag 2026
<25
21%
25-49
35%
50-74
24%
75-99
10%
100-124
6%
125-149
5%
150+
5%
25-49 35%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 mag 2026
<25
$729 Vol.
21%
25-49
$1,952 Vol.
35%
50-74
$781 Vol.
24%
75-99
$1,098 Vol.
10%
100-124
$1,000 Vol.
6%
125-149
$890 Vol.
5%
150+
$1,365 Vol.
5%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 margin of victory market favors a 25-49 point winning gap at 34.5% implied probability, driven by the competitive grand final field finalized after Thursday's second semi-final qualifiers, including powerhouses like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Monroe and Greece's "Ferto" alongside televote threats from Israel. With no overwhelming frontrunner—Finland leads winner odds at 46% but faces jury-televote splits favoring Israel (50% for public vote) and others like Denmark or France—traders anticipate a moderate margin akin to recent contests like 2024's 44-point Ukraine-Italy gap or 2021's razor-thin 25 points. Historical patterns in balanced 26-act finals, combined with Vienna's running order draw, underscore uncertainty ahead of Saturday's May 16 finale, where diaspora voting and ballad momentum could tighten or widen the race.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volume
$7,816Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 margin of victory market favors a 25-49 point winning gap at 34.5% implied probability, driven by the competitive grand final field finalized after Thursday's second semi-final qualifiers, including powerhouses like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Monroe and Greece's "Ferto" alongside televote threats from Israel. With no overwhelming frontrunner—Finland leads winner odds at 46% but faces jury-televote splits favoring Israel (50% for public vote) and others like Denmark or France—traders anticipate a moderate margin akin to recent contests like 2024's 44-point Ukraine-Italy gap or 2021's razor-thin 25 points. Historical patterns in balanced 26-act finals, combined with Vienna's running order draw, underscore uncertainty ahead of Saturday's May 16 finale, where diaspora voting and ballad momentum could tighten or widen the race.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$7,816Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 margin of victory market favors a 25-49 point winning gap at 34.5% implied probability, driven by the competitive grand final field finalized after Thursday's second semi-final qualifiers, including powerhouses like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Monroe and Greece's "Ferto" alongside televote threats from Israel. With no overwhelming frontrunner—Finland leads winner odds at 46% but faces jury-televote splits favoring Israel (50% for public vote) and others like Denmark or France—traders anticipate a moderate margin akin to recent contests like 2024's 44-point Ukraine-Italy gap or 2021's razor-thin 25 points. Historical patterns in balanced 26-act finals, combined with Vienna's running order draw, underscore uncertainty ahead of Saturday's May 16 finale, where diaspora voting and ballad momentum could tighten or widen the race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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