Trader consensus on Polymarket ties Australia and Finland at 24% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 second place, reflecting Australia's explosive Semi-Final 2 performance yesterday by Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse," which electrified global televote and propelled qualifiers alongside frontrunners. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen solidified momentum from dominant Semi-Final 1 rehearsals and staging for "Liekinheitin," positioning it as win favorite but vulnerable to Australia's pop-star surge. Israel's Noam Bettan clings to 16.2% amid controversy-boosted televote potential, while Greece's Akylas holds 14.5% on precursor jury nods. With Vienna's Grand Final on May 16 blending 50/50 jury-televote, dress rehearsals and late momentum shifts—like historical non-European televote upsets—could tip this nail-biter.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEurovision 2nd Place 2026
Eurovision 2nd Place 2026
Finland 24%
Australia 24%
Israel 16.1%
Greece 15%
$17,042 Vol.
$17,042 Vol.
Finland
24%
Australia
24%
Israel
16%
Greece
15%
Romania
7%
Denmark
6%
France
6%
Bulgaria
5%
Italy
4%
Lithuania
2%
Albania
2%
Sweden
2%
Serbia
2%
Czechia
1%
Moldova
1%
Norway
1%
San Marino
1%
Ukraine
1%
Estonia
1%
Latvia
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
Georgia
1%
Malta
1%
Croatia
1%
Portugal
1%
Austria
1%
United Kingdom
1%
Cyprus
1%
Poland
1%
Belgium
1%
Switzerland
1%
Germany
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Finland 24%
Australia 24%
Israel 16.1%
Greece 15%
$17,042 Vol.
$17,042 Vol.
Finland
24%
Australia
24%
Israel
16%
Greece
15%
Romania
7%
Denmark
6%
France
6%
Bulgaria
5%
Italy
4%
Lithuania
2%
Albania
2%
Sweden
2%
Serbia
2%
Czechia
1%
Moldova
1%
Norway
1%
San Marino
1%
Ukraine
1%
Estonia
1%
Latvia
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
Georgia
1%
Malta
1%
Croatia
1%
Portugal
1%
Austria
1%
United Kingdom
1%
Cyprus
1%
Poland
1%
Belgium
1%
Switzerland
1%
Germany
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket ties Australia and Finland at 24% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 second place, reflecting Australia's explosive Semi-Final 2 performance yesterday by Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse," which electrified global televote and propelled qualifiers alongside frontrunners. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen solidified momentum from dominant Semi-Final 1 rehearsals and staging for "Liekinheitin," positioning it as win favorite but vulnerable to Australia's pop-star surge. Israel's Noam Bettan clings to 16.2% amid controversy-boosted televote potential, while Greece's Akylas holds 14.5% on precursor jury nods. With Vienna's Grand Final on May 16 blending 50/50 jury-televote, dress rehearsals and late momentum shifts—like historical non-European televote upsets—could tip this nail-biter.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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