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Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?

icon for Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?

>99% probabilità
Polymarket

$34,117 Vol.

>99% probabilità
Polymarket

$34,117 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus around a near-certain 99.7% for a confirmed U.S. hantavirus case by May 31 stems from the virus's established annual presence, with multiple laboratory-verified infections already documented in early 2026 across states like New Mexico and Nevada. Routine rodent exposure in rural western regions, combined with ongoing monitoring of passengers from the recent Andes virus cruise-ship cluster, has locked in momentum. Historical CDC data shows consistent cases each year, making an upset—such as no new confirmations through the end of the month—highly improbable absent an unprecedented reporting delay.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$34,117
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus around a near-certain 99.7% for a confirmed U.S. hantavirus case by May 31 stems from the virus's established annual presence, with multiple laboratory-verified infections already documented in early 2026 across states like New Mexico and Nevada. Routine rodent exposure in rural western regions, combined with ongoing monitoring of passengers from the recent Andes virus cruise-ship cluster, has locked in momentum. Historical CDC data shows consistent cases each year, making an upset—such as no new confirmations through the end of the month—highly improbable absent an unprecedented reporting delay.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$34,117
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 100% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 100¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?" ha generato $34.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 14, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?" è 100% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 100% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.