Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a mostly cloudy spring day across Paris on May 17, with light southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature centered between 15°C and 16°C. This consensus explains the market’s tight split, as modest cloud cover reduces solar insolation while the mild airflow prevents both significant cooling and rapid warming. Historical May averages hover near 18°C, yet recent model runs have consistently trended cooler due to persistent Atlantic moisture. Traders will watch the final 12Z model update tonight and any last-minute clearing trends for shifts before tomorrow’s official high is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 maggio?
16°C 42%
15°C 38%
17°C 12%
14°C 3.7%
NUOVO
$44,308 Vol.
NUOVO
$44,308 Vol.
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
38%
16°C
42%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 42%
15°C 38%
17°C 12%
14°C 3.7%
NUOVO
$44,308 Vol.
NUOVO
$44,308 Vol.
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,367 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,600 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,274 Vol.
1%
14°C
$6,488 Vol.
4%
15°C
$5,462 Vol.
38%
16°C
$5,532 Vol.
42%
17°C
$4,753 Vol.
12%
18°C
$4,465 Vol.
2%
19°C
$7,037 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$3,230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a mostly cloudy spring day across Paris on May 17, with light southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature centered between 15°C and 16°C. This consensus explains the market’s tight split, as modest cloud cover reduces solar insolation while the mild airflow prevents both significant cooling and rapid warming. Historical May averages hover near 18°C, yet recent model runs have consistently trended cooler due to persistent Atlantic moisture. Traders will watch the final 12Z model update tonight and any last-minute clearing trends for shifts before tomorrow’s official high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$44,308Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a mostly cloudy spring day across Paris on May 17, with light southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature centered between 15°C and 16°C. This consensus explains the market’s tight split, as modest cloud cover reduces solar insolation while the mild airflow prevents both significant cooling and rapid warming. Historical May averages hover near 18°C, yet recent model runs have consistently trended cooler due to persistent Atlantic moisture. Traders will watch the final 12Z model update tonight and any last-minute clearing trends for shifts before tomorrow’s official high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,308Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBLatest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a mostly cloudy spring day across Paris on May 17, with light southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature centered between 15°C and 16°C. This consensus explains the market’s tight split, as modest cloud cover reduces solar insolation while the mild airflow prevents both significant cooling and rapid warming. Historical May averages hover near 18°C, yet recent model runs have consistently trended cooler due to persistent Atlantic moisture. Traders will watch the final 12Z model update tonight and any last-minute clearing trends for shifts before tomorrow’s official high is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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