Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 21–22°C in Milan today under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit further warming. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs reach about 22°C, and keeps the market-implied probability highest for 21°C at 52 percent. Minor model spread around cloud timing and wind strength sustains secondary support for 20°C and 22°C, while the slim odds below 19°C or above 23°C reflect the low likelihood of significant frontal passages or enhanced insolation on this date. Official readings from Milano Linate will resolve the contract.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on May 16?
21°C 50%
22°C 30%
20°C 11%
23°C 3.1%
$21,919 Vol.
$21,919 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
11%
21°C
50%
22°C
30%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 30%
20°C 11%
23°C 3.1%
$21,919 Vol.
$21,919 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
11%
21°C
50%
22°C
30%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 21–22°C in Milan today under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit further warming. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs reach about 22°C, and keeps the market-implied probability highest for 21°C at 52 percent. Minor model spread around cloud timing and wind strength sustains secondary support for 20°C and 22°C, while the slim odds below 19°C or above 23°C reflect the low likelihood of significant frontal passages or enhanced insolation on this date. Official readings from Milano Linate will resolve the contract.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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