Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs have converged on a Seoul daytime high of 24 °C for May 16, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, modest southerly flow, and limited daytime heating well aligned with the city’s mid-May climatological baseline near 22 °C. This consensus underpins the overwhelming 99.8 % market-implied probability for exactly 24 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time observational data and minimal upside risk. Only a sharp, unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized urban-heat amplification could push readings to 25 °C or higher before the day’s official maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
24°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C or higher <1%
$310,865 Vol.
$310,865 Vol.
16 mag 2026
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C or higher <1%
$310,865 Vol.
$310,865 Vol.
16 mag 2026
24°C
$46,682 Vol.
100%
25°C
$22,582 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$43,284 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs have converged on a Seoul daytime high of 24 °C for May 16, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, modest southerly flow, and limited daytime heating well aligned with the city’s mid-May climatological baseline near 22 °C. This consensus underpins the overwhelming 99.8 % market-implied probability for exactly 24 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time observational data and minimal upside risk. Only a sharp, unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized urban-heat amplification could push readings to 25 °C or higher before the day’s official maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$310,865Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs have converged on a Seoul daytime high of 24 °C for May 16, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, modest southerly flow, and limited daytime heating well aligned with the city’s mid-May climatological baseline near 22 °C. This consensus underpins the overwhelming 99.8 % market-implied probability for exactly 24 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time observational data and minimal upside risk. Only a sharp, unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized urban-heat amplification could push readings to 25 °C or higher before the day’s official maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$310,865Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs have converged on a Seoul daytime high of 24 °C for May 16, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, modest southerly flow, and limited daytime heating well aligned with the city’s mid-May climatological baseline near 22 °C. This consensus underpins the overwhelming 99.8 % market-implied probability for exactly 24 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time observational data and minimal upside risk. Only a sharp, unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized urban-heat amplification could push readings to 25 °C or higher before the day’s official maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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