Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs place London's minimum temperature on May 20 in a tight cluster between 11 °C and 13 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable high cloud and light northeasterly flow. Clear-sky periods would accelerate surface heat loss and favor readings near 11 °C, whereas increased cloud cover or slightly stronger mixing would keep minima closer to 13 °C. With the market pricing 12 °C highest at 28 % and adjacent outcomes nearly even, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance that shows only minor differences in boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression over the next 72 hours. The next high-resolution model cycle expected later today will likely tighten this range further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 20 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 20 maggio?
13°C 34%
12°C 23%
14°C 16%
11°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 mag 2026
7°C o inferiore
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
5%
10°C
12%
11°C
19%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
16%
15°C
8%
16°C
5%
17°C o superiore
2%
13°C 34%
12°C 23%
14°C 16%
11°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 mag 2026
7°C o inferiore
$60 Vol.
1%
8°C
$63 Vol.
5%
9°C
$6 Vol.
5%
10°C
$6 Vol.
12%
11°C
$25 Vol.
19%
12°C
$6 Vol.
21%
13°C
$16 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C
$6 Vol.
8%
16°C
$14 Vol.
5%
17°C o superiore
$76 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs place London's minimum temperature on May 20 in a tight cluster between 11 °C and 13 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable high cloud and light northeasterly flow. Clear-sky periods would accelerate surface heat loss and favor readings near 11 °C, whereas increased cloud cover or slightly stronger mixing would keep minima closer to 13 °C. With the market pricing 12 °C highest at 28 % and adjacent outcomes nearly even, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance that shows only minor differences in boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression over the next 72 hours. The next high-resolution model cycle expected later today will likely tighten this range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$278Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs place London's minimum temperature on May 20 in a tight cluster between 11 °C and 13 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable high cloud and light northeasterly flow. Clear-sky periods would accelerate surface heat loss and favor readings near 11 °C, whereas increased cloud cover or slightly stronger mixing would keep minima closer to 13 °C. With the market pricing 12 °C highest at 28 % and adjacent outcomes nearly even, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance that shows only minor differences in boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression over the next 72 hours. The next high-resolution model cycle expected later today will likely tighten this range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$278Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF model runs place London's minimum temperature on May 20 in a tight cluster between 11 °C and 13 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable high cloud and light northeasterly flow. Clear-sky periods would accelerate surface heat loss and favor readings near 11 °C, whereas increased cloud cover or slightly stronger mixing would keep minima closer to 13 °C. With the market pricing 12 °C highest at 28 % and adjacent outcomes nearly even, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance that shows only minor differences in boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression over the next 72 hours. The next high-resolution model cycle expected later today will likely tighten this range further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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