Latest high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 20°C in Madrid on May 16, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula that suppresses strong daytime heating. Light northerly flow and mostly clear skies are limiting surface warming, consistent with mid-May climatology where central Spain typically records highs of 19–22°C. Recent surface observations from Madrid stations show no rapid temperature rise, keeping the 20°C and 21°C outcomes dominant while pushing lower probabilities on 19°C or 22°C. Final resolution rests on official Retiro park readings at midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
20°C 55%
21°C 21%
19°C 15%
22°C 7%
$39,362 Vol.
$39,362 Vol.
16 mag 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
15%
20°C
55%
21°C
21%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 55%
21°C 21%
19°C 15%
22°C 7%
$39,362 Vol.
$39,362 Vol.
16 mag 2026
15°C or below
$4,487 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$4,075 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,336 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,964 Vol.
2%
19°C
$2,934 Vol.
15%
20°C
$3,491 Vol.
55%
21°C
$3,651 Vol.
21%
22°C
$2,293 Vol.
7%
23°C
$2,459 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,995 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,275 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 20°C in Madrid on May 16, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula that suppresses strong daytime heating. Light northerly flow and mostly clear skies are limiting surface warming, consistent with mid-May climatology where central Spain typically records highs of 19–22°C. Recent surface observations from Madrid stations show no rapid temperature rise, keeping the 20°C and 21°C outcomes dominant while pushing lower probabilities on 19°C or 22°C. Final resolution rests on official Retiro park readings at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$39,362Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 20°C in Madrid on May 16, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula that suppresses strong daytime heating. Light northerly flow and mostly clear skies are limiting surface warming, consistent with mid-May climatology where central Spain typically records highs of 19–22°C. Recent surface observations from Madrid stations show no rapid temperature rise, keeping the 20°C and 21°C outcomes dominant while pushing lower probabilities on 19°C or 22°C. Final resolution rests on official Retiro park readings at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,362Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 20°C in Madrid on May 16, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula that suppresses strong daytime heating. Light northerly flow and mostly clear skies are limiting surface warming, consistent with mid-May climatology where central Spain typically records highs of 19–22°C. Recent surface observations from Madrid stations show no rapid temperature rise, keeping the 20°C and 21°C outcomes dominant while pushing lower probabilities on 19°C or 22°C. Final resolution rests on official Retiro park readings at midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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