Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System maintain a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, limiting daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup positions 22°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 21°C, aligning with Madrid’s mid-May climatological average high of 22–23°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from this narrow band, with no significant frontal systems or moisture influx expected to alter peak temperatures. Traders monitor afternoon observations and any late-day model updates for potential shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 17 maggio?
22°C 45%
23°C 24%
21°C 22%
24°C 9%
NUOVO
$12,111 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,111 Vol.
17 mag 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
22%
22°C
45%
23°C
24%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 24%
21°C 22%
24°C 9%
NUOVO
$12,111 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,111 Vol.
17 mag 2026
17°C or below
$1,678 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,075 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,155 Vol.
1%
20°C
$887 Vol.
4%
21°C
$1,964 Vol.
22%
22°C
$1,664 Vol.
45%
23°C
$1,193 Vol.
24%
24°C
$591 Vol.
9%
25°C
$493 Vol.
1%
26°C
$506 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$914 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System maintain a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, limiting daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup positions 22°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 21°C, aligning with Madrid’s mid-May climatological average high of 22–23°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from this narrow band, with no significant frontal systems or moisture influx expected to alter peak temperatures. Traders monitor afternoon observations and any late-day model updates for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$12,111Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System maintain a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, limiting daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup positions 22°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 21°C, aligning with Madrid’s mid-May climatological average high of 22–23°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from this narrow band, with no significant frontal systems or moisture influx expected to alter peak temperatures. Traders monitor afternoon observations and any late-day model updates for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,111Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System maintain a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, limiting daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup positions 22°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 21°C, aligning with Madrid’s mid-May climatological average high of 22–23°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from this narrow band, with no significant frontal systems or moisture influx expected to alter peak temperatures. Traders monitor afternoon observations and any late-day model updates for potential shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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