Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a Shanghai high temperature clustering tightly around 26-27°C on May 17, reflecting trader sentiment with 37% implied probability for 26°C and 35.5% for 27°C, amid mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover that cap peak heating. Recent observations show May 15 highs reaching 27°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 25-26°C but influenced by urban heat island effects and East China Sea moisture influx. Differentiating factors include model divergences on sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow favors cooler 25°C outcomes (23.5%), while delayed clearing boosts 28°C+ potential (18%). Uncertainty persists due to low-level humidity variations; China Meteorological Administration updates and 12z model runs tomorrow may refine these probabilities ahead of official station measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 17 maggio?
26°C 32%
27°C 26%
25°C 19%
28°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
21°C o inferiore
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
19%
26°C
32%
27°C
26%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C o superiore
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 26%
25°C 19%
28°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
21°C o inferiore
$65 Vol.
1%
22°C
$65 Vol.
2%
23°C
$15 Vol.
1%
24°C
$22 Vol.
7%
25°C
$109 Vol.
19%
26°C
$51 Vol.
32%
27°C
$37 Vol.
26%
28°C
$62 Vol.
11%
29°C
$9 Vol.
5%
30°C
$12 Vol.
3%
31°C o superiore
$66 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a Shanghai high temperature clustering tightly around 26-27°C on May 17, reflecting trader sentiment with 37% implied probability for 26°C and 35.5% for 27°C, amid mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover that cap peak heating. Recent observations show May 15 highs reaching 27°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 25-26°C but influenced by urban heat island effects and East China Sea moisture influx. Differentiating factors include model divergences on sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow favors cooler 25°C outcomes (23.5%), while delayed clearing boosts 28°C+ potential (18%). Uncertainty persists due to low-level humidity variations; China Meteorological Administration updates and 12z model runs tomorrow may refine these probabilities ahead of official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$514Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a Shanghai high temperature clustering tightly around 26-27°C on May 17, reflecting trader sentiment with 37% implied probability for 26°C and 35.5% for 27°C, amid mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover that cap peak heating. Recent observations show May 15 highs reaching 27°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 25-26°C but influenced by urban heat island effects and East China Sea moisture influx. Differentiating factors include model divergences on sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow favors cooler 25°C outcomes (23.5%), while delayed clearing boosts 28°C+ potential (18%). Uncertainty persists due to low-level humidity variations; China Meteorological Administration updates and 12z model runs tomorrow may refine these probabilities ahead of official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$514Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a Shanghai high temperature clustering tightly around 26-27°C on May 17, reflecting trader sentiment with 37% implied probability for 26°C and 35.5% for 27°C, amid mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover that cap peak heating. Recent observations show May 15 highs reaching 27°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 25-26°C but influenced by urban heat island effects and East China Sea moisture influx. Differentiating factors include model divergences on sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow favors cooler 25°C outcomes (23.5%), while delayed clearing boosts 28°C+ potential (18%). Uncertainty persists due to low-level humidity variations; China Meteorological Administration updates and 12z model runs tomorrow may refine these probabilities ahead of official station measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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