Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.5% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Busan today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecast showing clear skies, light southerly winds, and hourly peaks near 27–30°C (feels-like 26–27°C due to low 25% humidity) under dominant high pressure. This reflects abundant insolation and above-normal mid-May warmth, exceeding the climatological average of 22–23°C, with Busan's coastal sea-breeze moderation capping intensity per ensemble model agreement. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine and downslope flow pushing to 28°C (9.9% odds) or unexpected afternoon clouds limiting below 27°C; track KMA hourly updates and station observations through 6 PM local time for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Busan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 15?
27°C 91%
28°C 8.4%
29°C or higher <1%
24°C <1%
$51,753 Vol.
$51,753 Vol.
15 mag 2026
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
91%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
1%
27°C 91%
28°C 8.4%
29°C or higher <1%
24°C <1%
$51,753 Vol.
$51,753 Vol.
15 mag 2026
24°C
$10,558 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,484 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,374 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,645 Vol.
91%
28°C
$5,242 Vol.
8%
29°C or higher
$3,585 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.5% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Busan today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecast showing clear skies, light southerly winds, and hourly peaks near 27–30°C (feels-like 26–27°C due to low 25% humidity) under dominant high pressure. This reflects abundant insolation and above-normal mid-May warmth, exceeding the climatological average of 22–23°C, with Busan's coastal sea-breeze moderation capping intensity per ensemble model agreement. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine and downslope flow pushing to 28°C (9.9% odds) or unexpected afternoon clouds limiting below 27°C; track KMA hourly updates and station observations through 6 PM local time for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$51,753Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.5% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Busan today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecast showing clear skies, light southerly winds, and hourly peaks near 27–30°C (feels-like 26–27°C due to low 25% humidity) under dominant high pressure. This reflects abundant insolation and above-normal mid-May warmth, exceeding the climatological average of 22–23°C, with Busan's coastal sea-breeze moderation capping intensity per ensemble model agreement. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine and downslope flow pushing to 28°C (9.9% odds) or unexpected afternoon clouds limiting below 27°C; track KMA hourly updates and station observations through 6 PM local time for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,753Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.5% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Busan today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecast showing clear skies, light southerly winds, and hourly peaks near 27–30°C (feels-like 26–27°C due to low 25% humidity) under dominant high pressure. This reflects abundant insolation and above-normal mid-May warmth, exceeding the climatological average of 22–23°C, with Busan's coastal sea-breeze moderation capping intensity per ensemble model agreement. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine and downslope flow pushing to 28°C (9.9% odds) or unexpected afternoon clouds limiting below 27°C; track KMA hourly updates and station observations through 6 PM local time for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti