Latest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF project a modest high-pressure ridge over the Black Sea region, supporting a daily maximum near 21 °C at Istanbul Airport and central stations for May 17. Mid-May climatology centers on 20–22 °C peaks, tempered by variable cloud cover and potential northerly sea breezes off the Marmara that limit afternoon heating. The spread across 20–22 °C outcomes reflects ongoing model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 23 °C given insufficient solar insolation and the absence of strong southerly advection. Morning model updates and real-time observations will narrow the range before official resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 17 maggio?
21°C 34%
20°C 21%
22°C 19%
23°C 8.0%
NUOVO
$21,935 Vol.
NUOVO
$21,935 Vol.
17 mag 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
21%
21°C
34%
22°C
19%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
2%
21°C 34%
20°C 21%
22°C 19%
23°C 8.0%
NUOVO
$21,935 Vol.
NUOVO
$21,935 Vol.
17 mag 2026
14°C or below
$552 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$12,934 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,012 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,571 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,618 Vol.
8%
20°C
$578 Vol.
21%
21°C
$167 Vol.
34%
22°C
$431 Vol.
19%
23°C
$1,409 Vol.
8%
24°C or higher
$1,403 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF project a modest high-pressure ridge over the Black Sea region, supporting a daily maximum near 21 °C at Istanbul Airport and central stations for May 17. Mid-May climatology centers on 20–22 °C peaks, tempered by variable cloud cover and potential northerly sea breezes off the Marmara that limit afternoon heating. The spread across 20–22 °C outcomes reflects ongoing model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 23 °C given insufficient solar insolation and the absence of strong southerly advection. Morning model updates and real-time observations will narrow the range before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$21,935Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF project a modest high-pressure ridge over the Black Sea region, supporting a daily maximum near 21 °C at Istanbul Airport and central stations for May 17. Mid-May climatology centers on 20–22 °C peaks, tempered by variable cloud cover and potential northerly sea breezes off the Marmara that limit afternoon heating. The spread across 20–22 °C outcomes reflects ongoing model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 23 °C given insufficient solar insolation and the absence of strong southerly advection. Morning model updates and real-time observations will narrow the range before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,935Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF project a modest high-pressure ridge over the Black Sea region, supporting a daily maximum near 21 °C at Istanbul Airport and central stations for May 17. Mid-May climatology centers on 20–22 °C peaks, tempered by variable cloud cover and potential northerly sea breezes off the Marmara that limit afternoon heating. The spread across 20–22 °C outcomes reflects ongoing model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 23 °C given insufficient solar insolation and the absence of strong southerly advection. Morning model updates and real-time observations will narrow the range before official resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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