Recent meteorological models from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global ensembles project a daytime maximum temperature in São Paulo of 24–26 °C on May 16, driven by typical autumnal conditions with moderate solar insolation, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient diurnal heating. Official observations through early morning show surface temperatures tracking near seasonal normals around 15 °C overnight, supporting the current market-implied probabilities that place 25 °C as the modal outcome. Any deviation would require an unexpected strengthening of a passing cold front or enhanced boundary-layer mixing, neither of which is indicated in the latest 12–24 hour model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 16 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 16 maggio?
25°C 41%
24°C 22.4%
26°C 22%
27°C 11.0%
$29,477 Vol.
$29,477 Vol.
16 mag 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
22%
25°C
41%
26°C
22%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C o superiore
1%
25°C 41%
24°C 22.4%
26°C 22%
27°C 11.0%
$29,477 Vol.
$29,477 Vol.
16 mag 2026
19°C o inferiore
$3,720 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,751 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,178 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,989 Vol.
3%
23°C
$3,018 Vol.
8%
24°C
$2,576 Vol.
22%
25°C
$1,902 Vol.
41%
26°C
$2,390 Vol.
22%
27°C
$1,494 Vol.
11%
28°C
$1,418 Vol.
2%
29°C o superiore
$2,040 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological models from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global ensembles project a daytime maximum temperature in São Paulo of 24–26 °C on May 16, driven by typical autumnal conditions with moderate solar insolation, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient diurnal heating. Official observations through early morning show surface temperatures tracking near seasonal normals around 15 °C overnight, supporting the current market-implied probabilities that place 25 °C as the modal outcome. Any deviation would require an unexpected strengthening of a passing cold front or enhanced boundary-layer mixing, neither of which is indicated in the latest 12–24 hour model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$29,477Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological models from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global ensembles project a daytime maximum temperature in São Paulo of 24–26 °C on May 16, driven by typical autumnal conditions with moderate solar insolation, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient diurnal heating. Official observations through early morning show surface temperatures tracking near seasonal normals around 15 °C overnight, supporting the current market-implied probabilities that place 25 °C as the modal outcome. Any deviation would require an unexpected strengthening of a passing cold front or enhanced boundary-layer mixing, neither of which is indicated in the latest 12–24 hour model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,477Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological models from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global ensembles project a daytime maximum temperature in São Paulo of 24–26 °C on May 16, driven by typical autumnal conditions with moderate solar insolation, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient diurnal heating. Official observations through early morning show surface temperatures tracking near seasonal normals around 15 °C overnight, supporting the current market-implied probabilities that place 25 °C as the modal outcome. Any deviation would require an unexpected strengthening of a passing cold front or enhanced boundary-layer mixing, neither of which is indicated in the latest 12–24 hour model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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