Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have narrowed expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–28 percent. Clear skies and light winds are supporting modest daytime warming under a weak high-pressure ridge, while modest southerly flow and any afternoon cloud buildup introduce the primary uncertainty between a 24 °C peak and a possible 26 °C reading. Mid-May climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 20s, and the tight clustering around these outcomes reflects high confidence in the current 48-hour model consensus ahead of the next KMA forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul il 17 maggio?
26°C or higher 32%
25°C 27%
24°C 22%
23°C 16%
NUOVO
$64,161 Vol.
NUOVO
$64,161 Vol.
17 mag 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
22%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
32%
26°C or higher 32%
25°C 27%
24°C 22%
23°C 16%
NUOVO
$64,161 Vol.
NUOVO
$64,161 Vol.
17 mag 2026
16°C or below
$1,445 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,873 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$7,460 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,574 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$7,008 Vol.
1%
21°C
$8,394 Vol.
1%
22°C
$6,497 Vol.
4%
23°C
$6,759 Vol.
16%
24°C
$4,054 Vol.
22%
25°C
$4,954 Vol.
27%
26°C or higher
$9,957 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have narrowed expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–28 percent. Clear skies and light winds are supporting modest daytime warming under a weak high-pressure ridge, while modest southerly flow and any afternoon cloud buildup introduce the primary uncertainty between a 24 °C peak and a possible 26 °C reading. Mid-May climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 20s, and the tight clustering around these outcomes reflects high confidence in the current 48-hour model consensus ahead of the next KMA forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$64,161Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have narrowed expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–28 percent. Clear skies and light winds are supporting modest daytime warming under a weak high-pressure ridge, while modest southerly flow and any afternoon cloud buildup introduce the primary uncertainty between a 24 °C peak and a possible 26 °C reading. Mid-May climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 20s, and the tight clustering around these outcomes reflects high confidence in the current 48-hour model consensus ahead of the next KMA forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,161Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have narrowed expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–28 percent. Clear skies and light winds are supporting modest daytime warming under a weak high-pressure ridge, while modest southerly flow and any afternoon cloud buildup introduce the primary uncertainty between a 24 °C peak and a possible 26 °C reading. Mid-May climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 20s, and the tight clustering around these outcomes reflects high confidence in the current 48-hour model consensus ahead of the next KMA forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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