Recent model consensus from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicates a daytime maximum of exactly 16°C across central Paris under persistent northwesterly flow and limited insolation. This positioning aligns with observed surface data showing morning lows near 7°C and modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and Atlantic air advection, matching mid-May climatology where such values fall within one standard deviation of the 18°C seasonal mean. Strong trader agreement reflects the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance, though a delayed warm-sector intrusion or underpredicted boundary-layer mixing could still lift readings to 17°C before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 16 maggio?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$154,735 Vol.
$154,735 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$154,735 Vol.
$154,735 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicates a daytime maximum of exactly 16°C across central Paris under persistent northwesterly flow and limited insolation. This positioning aligns with observed surface data showing morning lows near 7°C and modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and Atlantic air advection, matching mid-May climatology where such values fall within one standard deviation of the 18°C seasonal mean. Strong trader agreement reflects the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance, though a delayed warm-sector intrusion or underpredicted boundary-layer mixing could still lift readings to 17°C before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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