Recent forecasts from BMKG and international models indicate Jakarta’s maximum temperature on May 16 will likely reach 33°C, aligning with the historical May climatological average for the city’s urban heat island environment. Partly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and moderate sea-breeze circulation are expected to limit further intensification, keeping the peak within the narrow 32–34°C range. Traders have priced this outcome at 82.5 percent implied probability because it matches both the long-term distribution of daily maxima and the latest model consensus, while lower or higher brackets remain unlikely absent an unexpected clearing trend or stronger convective heating. Official observations later today will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
33°C 83%
32°C 9%
34°C 6.0%
35°C 1.3%
NUOVO
$44,362 Vol.
NUOVO
$44,362 Vol.
16 mag 2026
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
9%
33°C
83%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 83%
32°C 9%
34°C 6.0%
35°C 1.3%
NUOVO
$44,362 Vol.
NUOVO
$44,362 Vol.
16 mag 2026
28°C
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,237 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,673 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12,392 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,533 Vol.
9%
33°C
$7,157 Vol.
83%
34°C
$3,728 Vol.
6%
35°C
$1,947 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$2,047 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from BMKG and international models indicate Jakarta’s maximum temperature on May 16 will likely reach 33°C, aligning with the historical May climatological average for the city’s urban heat island environment. Partly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and moderate sea-breeze circulation are expected to limit further intensification, keeping the peak within the narrow 32–34°C range. Traders have priced this outcome at 82.5 percent implied probability because it matches both the long-term distribution of daily maxima and the latest model consensus, while lower or higher brackets remain unlikely absent an unexpected clearing trend or stronger convective heating. Official observations later today will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$44,362Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from BMKG and international models indicate Jakarta’s maximum temperature on May 16 will likely reach 33°C, aligning with the historical May climatological average for the city’s urban heat island environment. Partly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and moderate sea-breeze circulation are expected to limit further intensification, keeping the peak within the narrow 32–34°C range. Traders have priced this outcome at 82.5 percent implied probability because it matches both the long-term distribution of daily maxima and the latest model consensus, while lower or higher brackets remain unlikely absent an unexpected clearing trend or stronger convective heating. Official observations later today will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,362Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from BMKG and international models indicate Jakarta’s maximum temperature on May 16 will likely reach 33°C, aligning with the historical May climatological average for the city’s urban heat island environment. Partly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and moderate sea-breeze circulation are expected to limit further intensification, keeping the peak within the narrow 32–34°C range. Traders have priced this outcome at 82.5 percent implied probability because it matches both the long-term distribution of daily maxima and the latest model consensus, while lower or higher brackets remain unlikely absent an unexpected clearing trend or stronger convective heating. Official observations later today will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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