Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.5% implied probability to a 68-69°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) today, closely tracking National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting peaks near 69°F amid a persistent shallow marine layer. This coastal stratus cloud deck, fueled by cool Pacific waters and onshore breezes, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, as seen in yesterday's observed high of around 69°F. Supporting 33% odds for 70-71°F, model ensembles show potential for partial afternoon clearing, though weak high pressure aloft limits warming. Lower bins reflect climatological May averages near 72°F but current cool anomalies; real-time observations and evening NWS updates will refine trajectories before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
68-69°F 56%
70-71°F 25%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 2.0%
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
15 mag 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
56%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 56%
70-71°F 25%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 2.0%
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
15 mag 2026
55°F or below
$2,018 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,561 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,429 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$5,234 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$3,251 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,372 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$3,201 Vol.
22%
68-69°F
$4,224 Vol.
56%
70-71°F
$2,055 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$1,599 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$3,604 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.5% implied probability to a 68-69°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) today, closely tracking National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting peaks near 69°F amid a persistent shallow marine layer. This coastal stratus cloud deck, fueled by cool Pacific waters and onshore breezes, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, as seen in yesterday's observed high of around 69°F. Supporting 33% odds for 70-71°F, model ensembles show potential for partial afternoon clearing, though weak high pressure aloft limits warming. Lower bins reflect climatological May averages near 72°F but current cool anomalies; real-time observations and evening NWS updates will refine trajectories before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$30,531Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.5% implied probability to a 68-69°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) today, closely tracking National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting peaks near 69°F amid a persistent shallow marine layer. This coastal stratus cloud deck, fueled by cool Pacific waters and onshore breezes, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, as seen in yesterday's observed high of around 69°F. Supporting 33% odds for 70-71°F, model ensembles show potential for partial afternoon clearing, though weak high pressure aloft limits warming. Lower bins reflect climatological May averages near 72°F but current cool anomalies; real-time observations and evening NWS updates will refine trajectories before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,531Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.5% implied probability to a 68-69°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) today, closely tracking National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting peaks near 69°F amid a persistent shallow marine layer. This coastal stratus cloud deck, fueled by cool Pacific waters and onshore breezes, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, as seen in yesterday's observed high of around 69°F. Supporting 33% odds for 70-71°F, model ensembles show potential for partial afternoon clearing, though weak high pressure aloft limits warming. Lower bins reflect climatological May averages near 72°F but current cool anomalies; real-time observations and evening NWS updates will refine trajectories before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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