Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C—the leading market outcome at 45.5% implied probability—due to persistent northerly airflow advecting cool maritime air masses, coupled with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar insolation and diurnal heating well below the 19°C May climatological average. May 14's similar conditions, with official highs forecasted at 13°C amid overcast skies and 5-6 mm precipitation, have reinforced trader sentiment, narrowing ensemble spreads for high short-range confidence while pricing 12°C (27%) on denser clouds and 14°C (21.5%) for potential localized clearing. Updated 12Z model runs today and observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station will refine uncertainties before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 15 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 15 maggio?
13°C 46%
12°C 26%
14°C 23%
15°C 6%
NUOVO
$16,721 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,721 Vol.
15 mag 2026
9°C o inferiore
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
26%
13°C
46%
14°C
23%
15°C
6%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
13°C 46%
12°C 26%
14°C 23%
15°C 6%
NUOVO
$16,721 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,721 Vol.
15 mag 2026
9°C o inferiore
$2,179 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$492 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,248 Vol.
4%
12°C
$1,954 Vol.
26%
13°C
$1,271 Vol.
46%
14°C
$2,476 Vol.
23%
15°C
$1,575 Vol.
6%
16°C
$1,862 Vol.
1%
17°C
$793 Vol.
1%
18°C
$653 Vol.
<1%
19°C o superiore
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C—the leading market outcome at 45.5% implied probability—due to persistent northerly airflow advecting cool maritime air masses, coupled with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar insolation and diurnal heating well below the 19°C May climatological average. May 14's similar conditions, with official highs forecasted at 13°C amid overcast skies and 5-6 mm precipitation, have reinforced trader sentiment, narrowing ensemble spreads for high short-range confidence while pricing 12°C (27%) on denser clouds and 14°C (21.5%) for potential localized clearing. Updated 12Z model runs today and observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station will refine uncertainties before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$16,721Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C—the leading market outcome at 45.5% implied probability—due to persistent northerly airflow advecting cool maritime air masses, coupled with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar insolation and diurnal heating well below the 19°C May climatological average. May 14's similar conditions, with official highs forecasted at 13°C amid overcast skies and 5-6 mm precipitation, have reinforced trader sentiment, narrowing ensemble spreads for high short-range confidence while pricing 12°C (27%) on denser clouds and 14°C (21.5%) for potential localized clearing. Updated 12Z model runs today and observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station will refine uncertainties before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,721Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C—the leading market outcome at 45.5% implied probability—due to persistent northerly airflow advecting cool maritime air masses, coupled with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar insolation and diurnal heating well below the 19°C May climatological average. May 14's similar conditions, with official highs forecasted at 13°C amid overcast skies and 5-6 mm precipitation, have reinforced trader sentiment, narrowing ensemble spreads for high short-range confidence while pricing 12°C (27%) on denser clouds and 14°C (21.5%) for potential localized clearing. Updated 12Z model runs today and observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station will refine uncertainties before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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