Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Guangzhou on May 14, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside observational data from the China Meteorological Administration, projecting a peak of 90°F (32°C) at Baiyun International Airport station amid partly cloudy skies, 84% humidity, and light southerly winds. Current midday readings near 29°C align with typical May climatology, where highs average 30–31°C, and recent updates show reduced rain risk compared to earlier projections, solidifying this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers capping the peak at 31°C or brief solar breaks pushing to 33°C, with final resolution pending end-of-day airport measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 14 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 14 maggio?
32°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C o superiore <1%
$55,589 Vol.
$55,589 Vol.
14 mag 2026
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C o superiore <1%
$55,589 Vol.
$55,589 Vol.
14 mag 2026
31°C
$9,788 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$11,339 Vol.
100%
33°C
$5,924 Vol.
<1%
34°C o superiore
$6,352 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Guangzhou on May 14, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside observational data from the China Meteorological Administration, projecting a peak of 90°F (32°C) at Baiyun International Airport station amid partly cloudy skies, 84% humidity, and light southerly winds. Current midday readings near 29°C align with typical May climatology, where highs average 30–31°C, and recent updates show reduced rain risk compared to earlier projections, solidifying this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers capping the peak at 31°C or brief solar breaks pushing to 33°C, with final resolution pending end-of-day airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$55,589Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Guangzhou on May 14, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside observational data from the China Meteorological Administration, projecting a peak of 90°F (32°C) at Baiyun International Airport station amid partly cloudy skies, 84% humidity, and light southerly winds. Current midday readings near 29°C align with typical May climatology, where highs average 30–31°C, and recent updates show reduced rain risk compared to earlier projections, solidifying this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers capping the peak at 31°C or brief solar breaks pushing to 33°C, with final resolution pending end-of-day airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$55,589Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Guangzhou on May 14, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside observational data from the China Meteorological Administration, projecting a peak of 90°F (32°C) at Baiyun International Airport station amid partly cloudy skies, 84% humidity, and light southerly winds. Current midday readings near 29°C align with typical May climatology, where highs average 30–31°C, and recent updates show reduced rain risk compared to earlier projections, solidifying this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers capping the peak at 31°C or brief solar breaks pushing to 33°C, with final resolution pending end-of-day airport measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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