Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 14, driven by observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid humid conditions with partial cloud cover limiting further solar heating. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs around 26–28°C and recent daily patterns showing peaks in the late afternoon before evening cooling; forecast models from AccuWeather and others align at 27–28°C (81°F). Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day clearing boosting insolation to 29°C or a data revision, but with the diurnal cycle advancing and no strong high-pressure ridge, traders see negligible risk before official finalization.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,445 Vol.
$67,445 Vol.
14 mag 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,445 Vol.
$67,445 Vol.
14 mag 2026
23°C or below
$3,818 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,061 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,292 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,499 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,518 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,832 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$9,217 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,097 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,423 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,631 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$9,057 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 14, driven by observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid humid conditions with partial cloud cover limiting further solar heating. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs around 26–28°C and recent daily patterns showing peaks in the late afternoon before evening cooling; forecast models from AccuWeather and others align at 27–28°C (81°F). Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day clearing boosting insolation to 29°C or a data revision, but with the diurnal cycle advancing and no strong high-pressure ridge, traders see negligible risk before official finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$67,445Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 14, driven by observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid humid conditions with partial cloud cover limiting further solar heating. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs around 26–28°C and recent daily patterns showing peaks in the late afternoon before evening cooling; forecast models from AccuWeather and others align at 27–28°C (81°F). Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day clearing boosting insolation to 29°C or a data revision, but with the diurnal cycle advancing and no strong high-pressure ridge, traders see negligible risk before official finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67,445Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 14, driven by observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid humid conditions with partial cloud cover limiting further solar heating. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs around 26–28°C and recent daily patterns showing peaks in the late afternoon before evening cooling; forecast models from AccuWeather and others align at 27–28°C (81°F). Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day clearing boosting insolation to 29°C or a data revision, but with the diurnal cycle advancing and no strong high-pressure ridge, traders see negligible risk before official finalization.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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