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icon for Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?

Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?

icon for Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?

Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?

mag 15

mag 16

mag 17

mag 15

mag 16

mag 17

21°C 44%

22°C 28%

20°C 15%

19°C 5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

21°C 44%

22°C 28%

20°C 15%

19°C 5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

16°C or below

$315 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$259 Vol.

1%

18°C

$346 Vol.

3%

19°C

$584 Vol.

5%

20°C

$364 Vol.

15%

21°C

$619 Vol.

44%

22°C

$691 Vol.

28%

23°C

$459 Vol.

3%

24°C

$231 Vol.

1%

25°C

$179 Vol.

1%

26°C or higher

$268 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a disruptive cold front with gale-force winds and heavy rain that battered Cape Town on May 11-12, bringing below-average temperatures, the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and AccuWeather forecasts project a high of 21°C on May 16 under pleasant sunny skies with light southeasterly winds at 11-13 km/h. This positions 21°C as the market-implied frontrunner at trader consensus of 41.5%, with 22°C close behind at 29.5%, reflecting model convergence from ECMWF and GFS ensembles after the front clears. Autumnal high-pressure ridging supports above-normal maximums per SAWS seasonal outlook, aligning with May climatology of 20-21°C daily peaks amid moderating southeast ocean influences. New observational data through midday May 16 could refine the peak amid typical 1-2°C forecast uncertainty from coastal breezes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,314
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a disruptive cold front with gale-force winds and heavy rain that battered Cape Town on May 11-12, bringing below-average temperatures, the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and AccuWeather forecasts project a high of 21°C on May 16 under pleasant sunny skies with light southeasterly winds at 11-13 km/h. This positions 21°C as the market-implied frontrunner at trader consensus of 41.5%, with 22°C close behind at 29.5%, reflecting model convergence from ECMWF and GFS ensembles after the front clears. Autumnal high-pressure ridging supports above-normal maximums per SAWS seasonal outlook, aligning with May climatology of 20-21°C daily peaks amid moderating southeast ocean influences. New observational data through midday May 16 could refine the peak amid typical 1-2°C forecast uncertainty from coastal breezes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,314
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Domande frequenti

"Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "21°C" a 45%, seguito da "22°C" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il May 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?" è "21°C" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "22°C" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.