Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models currently cluster Guangzhou’s May 17 peak temperature near 28 °C because variable cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime solar heating in this pre-monsoon subtropical setting. Persistent moisture from the South China Sea keeps relative humidity high, suppressing the usual May climb toward 29–30 °C historical averages and creating a narrow probability band among 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C outcomes. Minor differences in the timing of any late-day clearing or rainfall intensity will decide whether readings reach the upper or lower edge of that range, while official station observations at the close of the calendar day will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 17 maggio?
28°C 33%
27°C 26%
29°C 15%
26°C 11%
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
26%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C o superiore
2%
28°C 33%
27°C 26%
29°C 15%
26°C 11%
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
26%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGEnsemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models currently cluster Guangzhou’s May 17 peak temperature near 28 °C because variable cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime solar heating in this pre-monsoon subtropical setting. Persistent moisture from the South China Sea keeps relative humidity high, suppressing the usual May climb toward 29–30 °C historical averages and creating a narrow probability band among 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C outcomes. Minor differences in the timing of any late-day clearing or rainfall intensity will decide whether readings reach the upper or lower edge of that range, while official station observations at the close of the calendar day will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti