Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center and European models indicate Moscow's daily high on May 16 will likely settle between 21–23 °C, reflecting modest warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This range aligns with the market's tight distribution, where traders weigh small differences in predicted maximums driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average near 18 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Vnukovo or Sheremetyevo stations, with new model runs expected this evening that could shift the narrow probability margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
23°C or higher 32.6%
22°C 29.0%
21°C 29%
20°C 6.5%
$24,200 Vol.
$24,200 Vol.
16 mag 2026
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
29%
22°C
29%
23°C or higher
33%
23°C or higher 32.6%
22°C 29.0%
21°C 29%
20°C 6.5%
$24,200 Vol.
$24,200 Vol.
16 mag 2026
19°C
$4,260 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,369 Vol.
7%
21°C
$1,809 Vol.
29%
22°C
$1,382 Vol.
29%
23°C or higher
$3,475 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center and European models indicate Moscow's daily high on May 16 will likely settle between 21–23 °C, reflecting modest warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This range aligns with the market's tight distribution, where traders weigh small differences in predicted maximums driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average near 18 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Vnukovo or Sheremetyevo stations, with new model runs expected this evening that could shift the narrow probability margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$24,200Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center and European models indicate Moscow's daily high on May 16 will likely settle between 21–23 °C, reflecting modest warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This range aligns with the market's tight distribution, where traders weigh small differences in predicted maximums driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average near 18 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Vnukovo or Sheremetyevo stations, with new model runs expected this evening that could shift the narrow probability margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,200Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center and European models indicate Moscow's daily high on May 16 will likely settle between 21–23 °C, reflecting modest warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This range aligns with the market's tight distribution, where traders weigh small differences in predicted maximums driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average near 18 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Vnukovo or Sheremetyevo stations, with new model runs expected this evening that could shift the narrow probability margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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