The market's decisive positioning on a highest temperature of 25°C or below reflects official forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, which anticipate daytime highs capped near or under this threshold on May 16 due to widespread cloud cover and light rain suppressing solar radiation and promoting atmospheric cooling. These conditions align with consensus model guidance showing minimal warming potential, consistent with typical May variability where precipitation often moderates peaks below seasonal averages. Traders appear confident in stable readings through the afternoon, though any unexpected clearing of skies or postponed rainfall could allow brief surface heating to exceed 26°C before resolution. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will clarify final verification as the day progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 16 maggio?
25°C o inferiore 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$82,056 Vol.
$82,056 Vol.
25°C o inferiore
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
25°C o inferiore 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$82,056 Vol.
$82,056 Vol.
25°C o inferiore
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's decisive positioning on a highest temperature of 25°C or below reflects official forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, which anticipate daytime highs capped near or under this threshold on May 16 due to widespread cloud cover and light rain suppressing solar radiation and promoting atmospheric cooling. These conditions align with consensus model guidance showing minimal warming potential, consistent with typical May variability where precipitation often moderates peaks below seasonal averages. Traders appear confident in stable readings through the afternoon, though any unexpected clearing of skies or postponed rainfall could allow brief surface heating to exceed 26°C before resolution. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will clarify final verification as the day progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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