Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 17 maggio?
19°C 36%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 13.2%
NUOVO
$25,907 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,907 Vol.
17 mag 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
13%
19°C
36%
20°C
29%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 13.2%
NUOVO
$25,907 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,907 Vol.
17 mag 2026
13°C or below
$506 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$629 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,749 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,142 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,903 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,437 Vol.
13%
19°C
$1,318 Vol.
36%
20°C
$1,449 Vol.
29%
21°C
$1,103 Vol.
20%
22°C
$1,923 Vol.
3%
23°C or higher
$3,765 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$25,907Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,907Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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